242 Fish as feed inputs for aquaculture – Practices, sustainability and implications
Sub-area IV and Division IIIa (ICES, 2003d) indicate that fishing mortality is lower
than natural mortality, and multispecies analyses have indicated that when F (fishing
mortality) is below M (natural mortality), the fisheries are not causing problems for
their predators on the scale of the stock. It further noted that locally concentrated
harvesting may cause local and temporary depletions of predators and, therefore,
harvesting should be spread widely across large geographical areas.
The ICES Multispecies Forecast Programme (MSFOR) (reported in Gislason and
Kirkegaard, 1998) predicted that if there was a 40 percent reduction in the industrial
fishing effort in the North Sea, the harvested yield of sand eel would decrease by
19 percent (compared with the prevailing situation), while the spawning stock biomass
would increase by more than 50 percent (Figure 8). The model predicted that reducing
the fishing mortality of industrial species, and hence increasing the sand-eel stock,
would only have a small effect on predatory species. Such modelling must always
be interpreted with caution, as models can only make predictions based on the data
available. For example, the overfishing of predatory fish may have perturbed the
marine system to such an extent that the recovery of these stocks is unlikely even if
there is a reduction of the fishing effort on sand eels (Beddington, 1984). The lack of
appropriate modelling frameworks for establishing the ecosystem effects of fisheries is
well recognized (Robinson and Frid, 2003). However, it appears that fishing mortality
due to the sand-eel and Norway pout feed fisheries is sufficiently low to ensure that
prey items are available to predatory fish.
Teleost feedfish as predators of commercial species
The survival of the early planktonic phases of the fish life cycle is essential for stock
recruitment (Blaxter, 1974; Chambers and Trippel, 1997; Horwood, Cushing and
Wyatt, 2000). Even small variations in the mortality rate between egg fertilization
and recruitment can have a profound effect on the subsequent adult abundance
(Jennings, Kaiser and Reynolds, 2001). Many industrial fish species prey on the eggs
and larvae of commercial fish. Sand eel, Norway pout and capelin consume fish eggs
and larvae (www.fishbase.org), and sprat and herring prey on cod eggs (Stokes, 1992;
Total
Sole
Plaice
Sand eel
N. pout
Sprat
H erring
Haddock
Mackerel
Saithe
Whiting
Cod
-2 0^0 20 40 60
Yield^
SSB
Source: Gislason and Kirkegaard (1998)
FIGURE 8
MSFOR predictions of the percentage change in yield and spawning stock biomass
(SSB) in the North Sea for 11 North Sea species upon a 40 percent reduction in
sand-eel fishing