incumbency in order to influence the outcome of the election, perhaps by attempting to
stampede the public by some dramatic event at the last minute, such as the freeing of the
hostages in Teheran. Casey began to institute counter-measures even before the Detroit
GOP convention.
During the convention, at a July 14 press conference, Casey told reporters of his concern
that Carter might spring an "October surprise" in foreign or domestic policy on the eve of
the November elections. He announced that he had set up what he called an "incumbency
watch" to monitor Carter's activities and decisions. Casey explained that an "intelligence
operation" directed against the Carter White House was functioning "already in germinal
form." Ed Meese, who was with Casey at this press conference, added that the October
surprise "could be anything from a summit conference on energy" or development in
Latin America, or perhaps the imposition of "wage and price controls" on the domestic
economy.
"We've talked about the October surprise and what the October surprise will be," said
Casey. "I think it's immoral and improper."
The previous evening, in a televison appearance, Reagan had suggested that "the Soviet
Union is going to throw a few bones to Mr. Carter during this coming campaign to help
him continue as president." [fn 35]
Although Casey and Meese had defined a broad range of possibilities for the October
surprise, the most prominent of these was certainly the liberation of the American
hostages in Iran. A poll showed that if the hostages were to be released during the period
between October 18 and October 25, Carter could receive a 10% increase in popular vote
on election day.
The "incumbency watch" set up by Casey, would go beyond surveillance and become a
dirty tricks operation against Carter, including by attempting to block the liberation of the
hostages before the November, 1980 election.
What follows was in essence a pitched battle between two fascist gangs, the Carter White
House and the Bush-Casey forces. Out of this 1980 gang warfare, the post-1981 United
States regime would emerge. In the event the temple of Apollo in New Haven defeated
the temple of Dionysios in Plains, Georgia.
Carter and Brzezinski had deliberately toppled the Shah, deliberately installed Khomeini
in power. This was an integral part of Brzezinski's "arc of crisis" geopolitical lunacy,
another made-in-London artefact which called for the US to support the rise of Khomeini,
and his personal brand of fanaticism, a militant heresy within Islam. US arms deliveries
were made to Iran during the time of the Shah; during the short-lived Baktiar government
at the end of the Shah's reign; and continuously after the advent of Khomeini. There are
indications that the Carter regime connived with Khomeini to get the hostages taken in
the first place; the existence of the hostages would allow Carter to continue arms
deliveries and other vital forms of support for Khomeini under the pretext that he was