The printout given below comes from a matched case-
control study of 313 women in Sydney, Australia (Brock
et al., 1988), to assess the etiologic role of sexual behaviors
and dietary factors on the development of cervical cancer.
Matching was done on age and socioeconomic status.
The outcome variable is cervical cancer status (yes/no),
and the independent variables considered here (all coded
as 1, 0) are vitamin C intake (VITC, high/low), the number
of lifetimesexual partners (NSEX, high/low), age at first
intercourse (SEXAGE, old/young), oral contraceptive pill
use (PILLM ever/never), and smoking status (CSMOK,
ever/never).
Variable Coefficient S.E. eCoeff P 95% Conf.Int.foreCoeff
VITC 0.24411 0.14254 0.7834 .086 0.5924 1.0359
NSEX 0.71902 0.16848 2.0524 .000 1.4752 2.8555
SEXAGE 0.19914 0.25203 0.8194 .426 0.5017 1.3383
PILLM 0.39447 0.19004 1.4836 .037 1.0222 2.1532
CSMOK 1.59663 0.36180 4.9364 .000 2.4290 10.0318
MAX LOG LIKELIHOOD¼73.5088
Using the above printout, answer the following questions:
- What method of estimation should have been used to
fit the logistic model for this data set? Explain. - Why don’t the variables age and socioeconomic status
appear in the printout? - Describe how to compute the odds ratio for the effect
of pill use in terms of an estimated regression coeffi-
cient in the model. Interpret the meaning of this odds
ratio. - What odds ratio is described by the value
eto0.24411? Interpret this odds ratio. - State two alternative ways to describe the null hypoth-
esis appropriate for testing whether the odds ratio
described in Question 16 is significant. - What is the 95% confidence interval for the odds ratio
described in Question 16, and what parameter is being
estimated by this interval? - TheP-values given in the table correspond to Wald
test statistics for each variable adjusted for the others
in the model. The appropriateZstatistic is computed
by dividing the estimated coefficient by its standard
error. What is theZstatistic corresponding to the
P-value of .086 for the variable VITC? - For what purpose is the quantity denoted as MAX
LOG LIKELIHOOD used?
126 4. Maximum Likelihood Techniques: An Overview