VII. SUMMARY
Five issues on model strategy
guidelines:
- Modeling strategy when there
are two or more exposure
variables - Screening variables when
modeling - Collinearity diagnostics
- Multiple testing
- Influential observations
Issue 1: SeveralEs
Logit PðXÞ¼aþ~
q
i¼ 1
biEiþ~
p 1
j¼ 1
gjVj
þ~
q
i¼ 1
~
p 2
k¼ 1
dikEiWk
þ~
q
i¼ 1
~
q
i^0 ¼ 1
i 6 ¼i^0
d*ii 0 EiEi^0
Modeling Strategy Summary:
SeveralEs
Step 1:Define initial model (above
formula)
Step 2:Assess interaction: overall
chunk test (?), thenEWs
and then (?)EEs
Step 3:Assess confounding and
precision (Vs) (prior to
EEs?)
Step 4:Test for nonsignifEsifnot
components of significant
EEs
Issue 2: Screening Variables
Method 0: Consider predictors
one-at-a-time
Screen-out those
Xi not significantly
associated withD
Does not consider confounding or
interaction.
Questionable if model contains
bothEs andCs
This presentation is now complete.
We have described the five issues (shown at
the left) on model strategy guidelines not cov-
ered in the previous two chapters on this topic.
Each of these issues represent important fea-
tures of any regression analysis that typically
require attention when determining a “best”
model.
Regarding issue 1, we recommend that the
initial model have the general form shown at
the left. This model involvesEs,Vs,EWs, and
EEs, so there are two types of interaction
terms to consider.
We then recommend assessing interaction,
first by deciding whether to do an overall
chunk test, then testing for theEWs, after
which a choice has to be made as to whether
to test for theEEterms prior to or subsequent
to assessing confounding and precision. The
resulting model is then further assessed to see
whether any of theEterms are nonsignificant.
Regarding issue 2, we described an approach
(calledMethod 0)inwhichthosevariablesthat
are not individually significantly associated
with the (binary) outcome are screened-out
(i.e., removed from one’s initial model).
Method 0 does not consider confounding and/
or interaction for predictors treated one-at-a-
time. Thus, Method 0 makes most sense when
the model only involvesEs but is questionable
with bothEs andCs being considered.
Presentation: VII. Summary 283