Recall that AGEGP is coded as 0 for aged 50–64
or 1 for aged 65–79. Both estrogen use and
smoking status are also coded as dichotomous
variables. ESTROGEN is coded as 1 for ever
user and 0 for never user. SMOKING is coded
as 1 for current smoker and 0 for former or
never smoker.
The log odds comparing Adenosquamous
(D¼1) to Adenocarcinoma (D¼0) is equal
toa 1 plusb 11 timesX 1 plusb 12 timesX 2 plus
b 13 timesX 3.
Similarly, the log odds comparing Other type
(D¼2) to Adenocarcinoma (D¼0) is equal to
a 2 plusb 21 timesX 1 plusb 22 timesX 2 plusb 23
timesX 3.
The output for the analysis is shown on the left.
There are two beta estimates for each of the
three predictor variables in the model. Thus,
there are a total of eight parameters in the
model, including the intercepts.
EXAMPLE (continued)
X 1 ¼AGEGP^0 if50--64
1 if65--79
X 2 ¼ESTROGEN^0 if never user
1 if ever user
X 3 ¼SMOKING
0 if former or never
smoker
1 if current smoker
8
<
:
Adenosquamous vs. Adenocarcinoma:
ln
PðD¼ 1 jXÞ
PðD¼ 0 jXÞ
¼a 1 þb 11 X 1 þb 12 X 2
þb 13 X 3
Other vs. Adenocarcinoma:
ln
PðD¼ 2 jXÞ
PðD¼ 0 jXÞ
¼a 2 þb 21 X 1 þb 22 X 2
þb 23 X 3
Variable Estimate S.E. Symbol
Intercept 1 1.2032 0.3190 ^a 2
Intercept 2 1.8822 0.4025 ^a 1
AGEGP 0.2823 0.3280 ^b 21
AGEGP 0.9871 0.4118 ^b 11
ESTROGEN0.1071 0.3067 ^b 22
ESTROGEN0.6439 0.3436 ^b 12
SMOKING 1.7913 1.0460 ^b 23
SMOKING 0.8895 0.5254 ^b 13
Presentation: V. Extending the Polytomous Model toGOutcomes 445