232 Walter P. Carsonetal.
Table 13.3 Regions and forest types for studies that
evaluated the Janzen–Connell hypothesis.
Habitat No. of
studies
%
Lowland tropical forest 38 71.7
Tropical forests in
mature floodplain or
swampy areas
2 3.8
Montane tropical forest 1 1.9
Tropical dry forest 2 3.8
Subtropical forest 2 3.8
Temperate deciduous
forest
7 13.2
Temperate arid forest 1 1.9
Table 13.4 Number and percent of species in
different life-history classes that were investigated for
Janzen–Connell effects.
Life-form No. of
species
%
Herbaceous plant 1 0.6
Liana (woody vine) 1 0.6
Emergent tree 2 1.2
Canopy tree 81 47.7
Pioneer tree 2 1.2
Shrub 15 8.8
Species listed as tree
(no indication of
canopy position)
8 4.7
Understory palm 3 1.8
Understory tree 57 33.5
Total 170
suffer stron gpressure from pests (see below).
Furthermore, if enemies are the cause of these
effects then the degree that these enemies are
specialists or facultative specialists needs to be
quantified. In addition, far greater attention needs
to be given to quantifying the relative abundance
of focal species and more importantly to aspects
of plant species life history, particularly seed size,
dispersal mode, degree of shade tolerance, and
overall habitat breadth. It is important to deter-
mine whether species that are kept in check by
their enemies are superior competitors, that is
they have life-history traits that allow them to
establish, form dense stands, and persist for long
periods in the understory. Most importantly, we
argue that the focus needs to be shiftedawayfrom
whether these effects occur and towards the very
difficult task of evaluatin gtheir impact on local
and regional patterns of diversity (see below).
CHALLENGES AND ISSUES
ASSOCIATED WITH TESTING,
EVALUATING, AND FALSIFYING
THE JANZEN–CONNELL
HYPOTHESIS
The Janzen–Connell hypothesis is
ultimately a community-level
hypothesis
As Janzen (1970) concluded, host-specific or
facultatively host-specific seed and seedlin gpre-
dators will decrease tree population density of
a given tree species and/or increase distances
between new adults. Either of these consequences
of predation will lead “to more space in the
habitat for other species of trees and therefore
higher total number of tree species.” Thus, the
most unequivocal tests of Janzen–Connell, as with
Paine’s original test of keystone predation (Paine
1966), will come from studies that experimen-
tally remove enemies or subsets of enemies over
lon gperiods of time and quantify the chan ge
in species diversity. This task, of course, is not
a trivial undertaking. Nonetheless, other major
challenges have been overcome in studies of trop-
ical forests (e.g., establishing and maintaining
50 ha plots).
Janzen (1970, p. 517) proposed five field
experiments or observational studies that would
test predictions of his model. However, none of
these experiments focused on the key predic-
tion, that the exclusion of host-specific predators
would cause a decrease in diversity as tree species
with greater establishment or competitive ability
formed low-diversity seedlin gand saplin gcom-
munities where dominance was concentrated in
a few species. Connell (1971) did propose such an
experiment: “if all enemies of trees were removed