62 The Basics of financial economeTrics
TAbLE 3.5 (continued)
Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate Date10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate Date10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate
1975 1978 1981
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.5
7.39
7.73
8.23
8.06
7.86
8.06
8.4
8.43
8.15
8.05
85.243
5.343
5.431
5.518
5.585
5.639
5.687
5.716
5.738
5.753
5.759
5.7612.962
2.827
2.710
2.595
2.477
2.384
2.311
2.271
2.241
2.210
2.200
2.186Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec7.96
8.03
8.04
8.15
8.35
8.46
8.64
8.41
8.42
8.64
8.81
9.016.832
6.890
6.942
7.003
7.063
7.124
7.191
7.263
7.331
7.400
7.463
7.5251.068
0.995
0.923
0.854
0.784
0.716
0.598
0.482
0.397
0.365
0.322
0.284Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec12.57
13.19
13.12
13.68
14.1
13.47
14.28
14.94
15.32
15.15
13.39
13.728.520
8.594
8.649
8.700
8.751
8.802
8.877
8.956
9.039
9.110
9.175
9.2321.132
1.242
1.336
1.477
1.619
1.755
1.897
2.037
2.155
2.256
2.305
2.392
1976 1979 1982
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.74
7.79
7.73
7.56
7.9
7.86
7.83
7.77
7.59
7.41
7.29
6.875.771
5.777
5.800
5.824
5.847
5.870
5.900
5.937
5.981
6.029
6.079
6.1302.166
2.164
2.138
2.101
2.060
2.034
1.988
1.889
1.813
1.753
1.681
1.615Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec9.1
9.1
9.12
9.18
9.25
8.91
8.95
9.03
9.33
10.3
10.65
10.397.582
7.645
7.706
7.758
7.797
7.821
7.834
7.837
7.831
7.823
7.818
7.8180.254
0.224
0.174
0.108
0.047
−0.025
−0.075
−0.101
−0.085
0.011
0.079
0.154Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec14.59
14.43
13.86
13.87
13.62
14.3
13.95
13.06
12.34
10.91
10.55
10.549.285
9.334
9.375
9.417
9.456
9.487
9.510
9.524
9.519
9.517
9.502
9.4692.497
2.612
2.741
2.860
2.958
3.095
3.183
3.259
3.321
3.363
3.427
3.492
1977 1980 1983
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.21
7.39
7.46
7.37
7.46
7.28
7.33
7.4
7.34
7.52
7.58
7.696.176
6.224
6.272
6.323
6.377
6.441
6.499
6.552
6.605
6.654
6.710
6.7681.573
1.527
1.474
1.427
1.397
1.340
1.293
1.252
1.217
1.193
1.154
1.119Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec10.8
12.41
12.75
11.47
10.18
9.78
10.25
11.1
11.51
11.75
12.68
12.847.825
7.828
7.849
7.879
7.926
7.989
8.044
8.109
8.184
8.269
8.356
8.4460.261
0.418
0.615
0.701
0.716
0.702
0.695
0.716
0.740
0.795
0.895
1.004Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec10.46
10.72
10.51
10.4
10.38
10.85
11.38
11.85
11.65
11.54
11.69
11.839.439
9.411
9.381
9.340
9.288
9.227
9.161
9.087
9.012
8.932
8.862
8.8003.553
3.604
3.670
3.730
3.806
3.883
3.981
4.076
4.152
4.204
4.243
4.276