Artificial Intelligence, Automation, and the Economy

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(^30) Calculations based on Hall and Krueger, 2016 , (http://www.nber.org/papers/w22843.pdf), who note the number of
active driver-partners for Uber more than doubled every six months in the period 2012 - 2014, and expect this growth
rate to continue into 2015. CEA uses data from Harris and Krueger (2015)
(http://www.hamiltonproject.org/assets/files/modernizing_labor_laws_for_twenty_first_century_work_krueger_harr
is.pdf) for only Uber and Lyft. Extrapolating to May 2015 with Hall and Krueger’s method, CEA calculates
approximately 324,000 individuals were active driver-partners with Uber in May 2015.
(^31) Mean hourly earnings reported in Hall and Krueger (2016).
Table 1
Occupation BLS Code # Total Jobs
(BLS, May 2015)
Mean
Hourly
Wage
O*NET Occupation
Description
Bus Drivers,
Transit and
Intercity
53 - 3021 168,620 $19.31 Drive bus or motor coach,
including regular route
operations, charters, and private
carriage. May assist passengers
with baggage. May collect fares
or tickets.
Light Truck or
Delivery
Services
Drivers
53 - 3033 826,510 $16.38 Drive a light vehicle, such as a
truck or van, with a capacity of
less than 26,000 pounds Gross
Vehicle Weight (GVW),
primarily to deliver or pick up
merchandise or to deliver
packages. May load and unload
vehicle.
Heavy and
Tractor-
Trailer Truck
Drivers
53 - 3032 1,678,280 $20.43 Drive a tractor-trailer
combination or a truck with a
capacity of at least 26,000
pounds Gross Vehicle Weight
(GVW). May be required to
unload truck. Requires
commercial drivers' license.
Bus Drivers,
School or
Special Client
53 - 3022 505,560 $14.70 Transport students or special
clients, such as the elderly or
persons with disabilities.
Ensure adherence to safety
rules. May assist passengers in
boarding or exiting.
Taxi Drivers
and
Chauffeurs
53 - 3041 180,960 $12.53 Drive automobiles, vans, or
limousines to transport
passengers. May occasionally
carry cargo. Includes hearse
drivers.
Self-employed
Drivers
N/A 364,000^30 $19.35^31 N/A^

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