Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers

(Chris Devlin) #1

  1. Computations: Since , s 0.02456,  0  0.82, and n 15, we have

  2. Conclusions: Since , we reject H 0 and conclude at the 0.05 level of
    significance that the mean coefficient of restitution exceeds 0.82.
    Minitab will conduct the one-sample t-test. The output from this software package is in the
    following display:


t 0 2.721.761

t 0 

0.83725 0.82
0.02456
115

2.72

x0.83725

9-3 TESTS ON THE MEAN OF A NORMAL DISTRIBUTION, VARIANCE UNKNOWN 303

Notice that Minitab computes both the test statistic T 0 and a 95% lower confidence bound for
the coefficient of restitution. Because the 95% lower confidence bound exceeds 0.82, we
would reject the hypothesis that H 0 : 0.82 and conclude that the alternative hypothesis
is true. Minitab also calculates a P-value for the test statistic T 0. In the next
section we explain how this is done.

9-3.2 P-Value for a t-Test

The P-value for a t-test is just the smallest level of significance at which the null hypothesis
would be rejected. That is, it is the tail area beyond the value of the test statistic t 0 for a one-
sided test or twice this area for a two-sided test. Because the t-table in Appendix Table IV
contains only 10 critical values for each tdistribution, computation of the exact P-value
directly from the table is usually impossible. However, it is easy to find upper and lower
bounds on the P-value from this table.
To illustrate, consider the t-test based on 14 degrees of freedom in Example 9-6. The
relevant critical values from Appendix Table IV are as follows:
Critical Value: 0.258 0.692 1.345 1.761 2.145 2.624 2.977 3.326 3.787 4.140
Tail Area: 0.40 0.25 0.10 0.05 0.025 0.01 0.005 0.0025 0.001 0.0005
Notice that t 0  2.72 in Example 9-6, and that this is between two tabulated values, 2.624 and
2.977. Therefore, the P-value must be between 0.01 and 0.005. These are effectively the up-
per and lower bounds on the P-value.
Example 9-6 is an upper-tailed test. If the test is lower-tailed, just change the sign of t 0 and
proceed as above. Remember that for a two-tailed test the level of significance associated with a
particular critical value is twice the corresponding tail area in the column heading. This consider-
ation must be taken into account when we compute the bound on the P-value. For example, sup-
pose that t 0  2.72 for a two-tailed alternate based on 14 degrees of freedom. The value
(corresponding to  0.02) and (corresponding to  0.01), so the
lower and upper bounds on the P-value would be 0.01P0.02for this case.

t 0 2.624 t 0 2.977

H 1 : 0.82

One-Sample T: COR
Test of mu  0.82 vs mu0.82
Variable N Mean StDev SE Mean
COR 15 0.83725 0.02456 0.00634
Variable 95.0% Lower Bound T P
COR 0.82608 2.72 0.008

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