The Dictionary of Human Geography

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from the interactions. A classic example is the
highly organized termite hill that emerges out
of the interaction of countless highly special-
ized individual termite activities. Such proper-
ties of ‘self-organization’ and ‘emergence’ are
central to aggregate complexity.
Several different attempts have been made
to develop and apply the mathematical theory
to urban and regional systems, such as Allen
(1997) and Portugali (2000). One difficulty is
defining the objects within the system and its
boundaries. Reviews of these issues and their
relevance for human geography may be found
in Manson (2001) and O’Sullivan (2004).
Wilson (2000) takes a pragmatic approach,
using complexity theory as a framework within
which to link various urban sub-models, argu-
ing that such linkage is vital to understand
urban structure; however, this cannot be done
in analytical terms, but only through computer
simulation and sensitivity analysis.
Complexity theory has also been adopted
by cultural geographers (seecultural geog-
raphy) as an analogical and metaphorical
tool: as the ‘cultural turn’ emphasized the
importance ofdifference, contingency and
context, so the various concepts,modelsand
terms within mathematical complexity theory
provided useful language andmetaphorswith
which to examine space and society. Within
human geography, this use of complexity
theory outnumbers the mathematical applica-
tions. A well-developed example is provided
by Urry’s study of ‘global complexity’ (Urry,
2003), in which complexity is used to link
together local and global, the emergence of
global ‘order’ from regional ‘disorder’, the role
of feedbacks and path dependence in how
regions engage with global society, and the
challenge for how social theory is constructed.
Thrift (1999b) gives a wide-ranging survey of
the take-up of the complexity metaphor in
both business and the social sciences. lwh

Suggested reading
Manson(2001);O’Sullivan(2004);Thrift(1999b).

confirmatory data analysis Quantitative
statistical procedures used to evaluatehypoth-
eses, usually involving the use ofsignificance
tests(cf.exploratory data analysis). rjj

conflict At its most general, ‘conflict’ can
mean anything from a personal disagreement
between two people to a world war. It is now
widely understood that conflict is part of the
human condition, although only some of it
results in overtviolenceor combat. Conflict

theory in sociology emphasizes struggles over
resourcesand the formation of groups and
social cleavages that may lead to organized
conflict. Coercion, resistance, revolt and
political violence within states, and warfare
between states, are dynamic processes in
which escalation, violence, conflict resolution
and peace-making are all vitally important.
In political science and economics, conflict
is sometimes discussed in terms of game
theoryand strategic calculation, an approach
that has not been frequently invoked by
geographers.
Themes of conflict run through numerous
facets of contemporary enquiry in human
geography, even though they are often not
theorized as such. Marxist approaches empha-
size the importance of structural conflict
between classes and especially in cities under
capitalism, where the geography ofclass
struggle is literally built into the urban struc-
ture (seemarxism). More recently, feminist
analyses have investigated numerous
conflicts generated by patriarchal structures
and the strategies of resistance used by
women (Staeheli, Kofman and Peake, 2004:
see alsofeminism;patriarchy).migration
brings peoples and cultures into conflict as
newcomers and established populations
negotiate coexistence, frequently in situations
of considerable economic change and against
a backdrop of class and gender struggles.
Identity conflicts are part of the urban
mosaic in most metropolitan centres, where
diasporic populations (see diaspora) are
now the subject of numerous geographical
analyses inspired by post-colonialism
(Jacobs, 1996).
Classicgeopoliticsfocused on the geog-
raphy of war and international rivalry, a topic
that has undergone a revival of interest since
the 1980s. Most recently, conflict is at the
heart of a series of geographical analyses of
matters ofwarand peace, whereterritory,
identity, national independence,empireand
violence have all come under scrutiny in the
aftermath of the events of 11 September 2001
and the launch of the ‘global war on terror’
by the Bush administration in the USA (see
terrorism). Here, conflict is discussed at the
largest scales as matters of clashes between
civilizationsand cultures, butcritical geo-
politics also reveals the multiple ways in
which these struggles are socially constructed
and reach into the lives of ordinary people
(Gregory, 2004b). These terms are heavily
laden with both implicit and explicit geo-
graphical thinking, a matter that has gained

Gregory / The Dictionary of Human Geography 9781405132879_4_C Final Proof page 106 31.3.2009 9:45pm

CONFIRMATORY DATA ANALYSIS
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