HO 2-4 (continued)
Unit 2
critically affected
the business and that are relevant
for future
consideration. There
is considerable merit
and value to this
approach.
However,
two problems exist with the use
of and depen
dence on historical evidence.
First, this historical
data may not
be available because
variables may not have
been monitored
carefully
in the past. Secondly,
historical evidence
may not be
relevant
to the firm's future needs,
because contemporary
bu;i
ness
exists in a rapidly changing,
volatile environment.
It
may be unrealistic and
even dangerous to assume
that
past trends
are indicative of future
business conditions. There
fore, forwarding-looking,
insightful,
proactive thinking may be
lost if one adheres
totally to historical
trends. This does not
imply that past records
and trends don't
provide meaningful
and interesting
input that should be considered.
It does imply
that
the firm needs to consider
more thanjust historical
records.
To the extent that it is available
and relevant historical
infor
mation
is valuable, but it is
the beginning rather
than the end
of the analysis.
Environmental Brainstorming
In order to
identify the key environmental
concerns most
rel
evant to
a business, managers may
periodically engage in
a
creative exercise
of envircnmentalbrainstorming.
Environmental
brainstorming is an
open. free-wheeling discussion
session that
zeroes in on the dyna'nics
of a firm's particular
environment.
These
sessions not caly
provide rich input from
employees,
but are also an excellent
vehicle for comnur:cation.
Moreover,
because
the needs and direction
of the !.usiness often
are dis
cussed during :bese sessions
they are positive motivators
for
employees.
They foster understanding
and commitment from
key pei-sonnel
in the business.
Questions
about how often such
meetings should be held,
who should
attend, and how long
they should last are
most
difficult
to define. However,
some guidelines may be suggested.
The timing of these brainstorming
sessions is
largely dictated
by the rate
of change presently taking
place in the industry.
40
PartOne The Analysis
Phase
183