HO 2-4 (continued)Unit 2
critically affectedthe business and that are relevantfor futureconsideration. Thereis considerable meritand value to thisapproach.However,two problems exist with the useof and dependence on historical evidence.First, this historicaldata may notbe available becausevariables may not havebeen monitoredcarefullyin the past. Secondly,historical evidencemay not berelevantto the firm's future needs,because contemporarybu;inessexists in a rapidly changing,volatile environment.Itmay be unrealistic andeven dangerous to assumethatpast trendsare indicative of future
business conditions. Therefore, forwarding-looking,insightful,proactive thinking may belost if one adherestotally to historicaltrends. This does notimply that past recordsand trends don'tprovide meaningfuland interestinginput that should be considered.It does implythatthe firm needs to considermore thanjust historicalrecords.To the extent that it is availableand relevant historicalinformationis valuable, but it isthe beginning ratherthan the endof the analysis.
Environmental BrainstormingIn order toidentify the key environmentalconcerns mostrelevant toa business, managers mayperiodically engage inacreative exerciseof envircnmentalbrainstorming.Environmentalbrainstorming is anopen. free-wheeling discussionsession thatzeroes in on the dyna'nicsof a firm's particularenvironment.Thesesessions not calyprovide rich input fromemployees,but are also an excellentvehicle for comnur:cation.Moreover,becausethe needs and directionof the !.usiness oftenare discussed during :bese sessionsthey are positive motivatorsforemployees.They foster understandingand commitment fromkey pei-sonnelin the business.Questionsabout how often suchmeetings should be held,who shouldattend, and how longthey should last aremostdifficultto define. However,some guidelines may be suggested.The timing of these brainstormingsessions islargely dictatedby the rateof change presently takingplace in the industry.40PartOne The AnalysisPhase183