1 Advances in Political Economy - Department of Political Science

EDITOR’S PROOF

Modeling Elections with Varying Party Bundles 313

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m[region[i],k] + ed[region[i], education[i], k] +

ag[region[i],education[i],age[i],k]

expv[i,k] <- exp(v[i,k])

pv[i,k] <- expv[i,k]/sum(expv[i,1:K])

vote[i] ~ dcat(pv[i, 1:K])

}}

beta[1] ~ dnorm(0,taub[1])I(-5,5)

alpha[1] <- 0

alpha[2] ~ dnorm(0,taua[2])

alpha[3] ~ dnorm(0,taua[3])

alpha[4] ~ dnorm(0,taua[4])

alpha[5] ~ dnorm(0,taua[5])

m[1,1] <- 0

m[1,2] ~ dnorm(0,taum[1,2])

m[1,3] ~ dnorm(0,taum[1,3])

m[1,4] ~ dnorm(0,taum[1,4])

m[1,5] <- -100000

m[2,1] <- 0

m[2,2] ~ dnorm(0,taum[2,2])

m[2,3] ~ dnorm(0,taum[2,3])

m[2,4] ~ dnorm(0,taum[2,4])

m[2,5] ~ dnorm(0,taum[2,5])

taub[1] ~ dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taua[2] ~ dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taua[3] ~ dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taua[4] ~ dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taua[5] ~ dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[1,2]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[1,3]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[1,4]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[2,2]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[2,3]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[2,4]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

taum[2,5]~dgamma(.1,.1)I(.1,10)

for(f in 1:e){

ed[1,f,5] <- -10000

}

for(f in 1:e){

for(z in 1:4){

ed[1,f,z] ~ dnorm(0,taued[1,f,z])

taued[1,f,z] ~ dgamma(.01,.01)I(.01,10)

}}