World Bank Document

196 ■ CITIES AND CLIMATE CHANGE

TABLE 8.1
Background Information

City

Projected

average

temperature

changea

Projected an-

nual rainfall

change

Anticipated

changes in

extreme events

Sea-level
change
Bogota 2–4°C increase 15% decrease Increasing
intensity of
rainfall events,
heat waves,
electrical storms

Not applicable

Cape Town 2–3°C increase
in maximum/
minimum
temperatures
(by 2050)

Up to 20%

increase in

winter months;

10% runoff

decline by 2015

Increase

of already

signifi cant

number and

intensity of

storms

Rise by 2 cm per

decade over the

past decade,

projected at

200–900 mm

by 2100

Delhi 3–4°C increase
(by end of
century)

Predicted

increase of

about 10% in

Gangetic plains;

not quite clear

from regional

climate models

Increasing

intensity of

rainfall events

and total rainfall,

heat waves,

increased

drought, disease

transmission

Not applicable

Pearl River
Delta

3.5°C increase

(by end of

century)

1% increase per

decade during

the 21st century

Increasing

intensity of heat

waves (increase

in number of

very hot days

and hot nights in

summer)

Projected at

30 cm by 2030;

40–60 cm

by 2050; the

southern part

of the delta

lies between

−0.3 and 0.4 m

relative to mean

sea level

Pune 2.5–5.0°C
increase (by end
of century)

Increase

according to

current regional

climatic model;

new data

suggest there

could be a

decrease

Increasing

intensity of

rainfall events,

local heat

waves, disease

transmission

Not applicable