176 The Business of Value Investing
to a search strategy. Even when the general level of equity prices are
elevated, serious value investors are diligently researching companies
and constantly learning so that they can more knowledgeable when
the next opportunity of bargain hunting arises.
Today, investors have the added advantage of being able to
search Securities and Exchange Commission documents via the
Internet and see what other well - regarded investors are buying and
selling. An effective search strategy that includes regularly checking
up on the quarterly portfolio holdings of more experienced inves-
tors can be an excellent source of ideas. Investing is a painstaking
process and will reward those willing to pursue it with a degree of
intensity.
After your search strategy has produced worthwhile ideas, then
comes the process of learning about the company and its opera-
tions, assessing the quality and competency of management, and
valuing the business. Obviously, this is the crucial step in the process
because investors cannot go any further without determining what
the business in worth. Remember that business valuation is part art
and part science and that all values are estimates. By defi nition, val-
uation process incorporates future operating results extrapolated
from the past performance of the business. Because the business
world and the stock market are both vulnerable to a host of shocks,
the valuation is always an estimate of intrinsic value; thus the need
for a margin of safety — investing only in those securities that are
selling for substantially less than intrinsic value. The ultimate value
of a business rests on how much future cash fl ow it can produce.
The intrinsic value of business is the sum of those future cash fl ows
discounted back to the present at an appropriate discount rate
combined with an appropriate terminal value. Of course, a business
also may be valued based on liquidation value or its value to a pri-
vate buyer, but these scenarios should be relied on only when com-
pelling analytical data justifi es the likelihood of either type of event
occurring.
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