Introductory Biostatistics

(Chris Devlin) #1

sciences have been documented. For example, the number of viruses in a solu-
tion, the number of defective teeth per person, the number of focal lesions in
virology, the number of victims of specific diseases, the number of cancer
deaths per household, and the number of infant deaths in a certain locality
during a given year, among others.
The probability density function of a Poisson distribution is given by


PrðX¼xÞ¼

yxey
x!
forx¼ 0 ; 1 ; 2 ;...

¼pðx;yÞ

The mean and variance of the Poisson distributionPðyÞare


m¼y

s^2 ¼y

However, the binomial distribution and the Poisson distribution are not totally
unrelated. In fact, it can be shown that a binomial distribution with largenand
smallpcan be approximated by the Poisson distribution withy¼np.
Given a sample of counts from the Poisson distributionPðyÞ,fxigin¼ 1 , the
sample meanxis an unbiased estimator fory; its standard error is given by


SEðxÞ¼

ffiffiffi
x
n

r

Example 10.1 In estimating the infection rates in populations of organisms,
sometimes it is impossible to assay each organism individually. Instead, the
organisms are randomly divided into a number of pools and each pool is tested
as a unit. Let


N¼number of insects in the sample
n¼number of pools used in the experiment
m¼number of insects per pool;N¼nmðfor simplicity;
assume thatmis the same for every poolÞ

The random variableXconcerned is the number of pools that show negative
test results (i.e., none of the insects are infected).
Letlbe the population infection rate; the probability that allminsects in a
pool are negative (in order to have a negative pool) is given by


p¼ð 1 lÞm

Designating a negative pool as ‘‘success,’’ we have a binomial distribution for


POISSON DISTRIBUTION 351
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