9781118041581

(Nancy Kaufman) #1
developed the following estimates of annual revenues and costs (on average)
over the first three years of business:

Management fees $140,000
Miscellaneous revenues 12,000
Office rent 36,000
Other office expenses 18,000
Staff wages (excluding self) 24,000

From this list, the new venture’s accounting profit, the difference between rev-
enues and explicit expenses, would be reckoned at $74,000.
Is going into business on one’s own truly profitable? The correct answer
depends on recognizing all relevant opportunity costs. Suppose the money
manager expects to tie up $80,000 of her personal wealth in working capital as
part of starting the new business. Although she expects to have this money back
after the initial three years, a real opportunity cost exists: the interest the funds
would earn if they were not tied up. If the interest rate is 8 percent, this capi-
tal cost amounts to $6,400 per year. This cost should be included in the man-
ager’s estimate. Furthermore, suppose the manager’s compensation (annual
salary plus benefits) in her current position is valued at $56,000. Presumably
this current position is her best alternative. Thus, $56,000 is the appropriate
cost to assign to her human capital.
After subtracting these two costs, economic profit is reduced to $11,600.
This profit measures the projected monetary gain of starting one’s own busi-
ness. Since the profit is positive, the manager’s best decision is to strike out
on her own. Note that the manager’s decision would be very different if her
current compensation were greater—say, $80,000. The accounting profit
looks attractive in isolation. But $74,000 obviously fails to measure up to the
manager’s current compensation ($80,000) even before accounting for the
cost of capital.
In general, we say that economic profit is zero if total revenues are exactly
matched by total costs, where total costs include a normal return to any capi-
tal invested in the decision and other income forgone. Here normal return
means the return required to compensate the suppliers of capital for bearing
the risk (if any) of the investment; that is, capital market participants demand
higher normal rates of return for riskier investments. As a simple example,
consider a project that requires a $150,000 capital investment and returns an
accounting profit of $9,000. Is this initiative profitable? If the normal return on
such an investment (one of comparable risk) is 10 percent, the answer is no. If
the firm must pay investors a 10 percent return, its capital cost is $15,000.
Therefore, its economic profit is $9,000$15,000 $6,000. The invest-
ment is a losing proposition. Equivalently, the project’s rate of return is

230 Chapter 6 Cost Analysis

c06CostAnalysis.qxd 9/29/11 1:46 PM Page 230

Free download pdf