Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists

(Sean Pound) #1

11.4Tests of Independence in Contingency Tables 495


we obtain, after some computation, that with the five regions as given in the beginning of
this section,


ˆp 1 =.04214
ˆp 2 =.13346
ˆp 3 =.43434
ˆp 4 =.28841
ˆp 5 =.10164

Using the data valuesX 1 = 6,X 2 = 5,X 3 = 8,X 4 = 6,X 5 = 5, an additional
computation yields the test statistic value


T=

∑^5

i= 1

(Xi− 30 ˆpi)^2
30 ˆpi

=21.99156

To determine thep-value, we run Program 5.8.1a. This yields


p-value≈P{χ 32 >21.99}
= 1 −.999936
=.000064

and so the hypothesis of an underlying Poisson distribution is rejected. (Clearly,
there were too many weeks having 0 accidents for the hypothesis that the underlying
distribution is Poisson with mean 3.167 to be tenable.) ■


11.4 Tests of Independence in Contingency Tables


In this section, we consider problems in which each member of a population can
be classified according to two distinct characteristics — which we shall denote as the
X-characteristic and theY-characteristic. We suppose that there arerpossible values for
theX-characteristic andsfor theY-characteristic, and let


Pij=P{X=i,Y=j}

fori=1,...,r,j =1,...,s. That is,Pijrepresents the probability that a randomly
chosen member of the population will haveX-characteristiciandY-characteristicj.

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