Mathematics for Economists

(Greg DeLong) #1

Optimal stopping


Example


Optimal selling of a stock with independent o§ers.

Assume that we haveξ 1 ,ξ 2 ,.. .,ξT independent random o§ers for a
stock. If we sell it in periodtthen we will getξt( 1 +r)Ttat the Önal
periodT.What is the optimal strategy?
One can think about this type of problems as a speciÖc stochastic dynamic
programing problem. At every time period we have just one possible
action set: sell it or not. After we have sold the stock our set of strategies
is already empty. Our goal is to maximize the expected payout.
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