Mathematics for Economists

(Greg DeLong) #1

Optimal stopping


Now assume thatr= 100 %and letξuniformly distributed on[ 0 , 1 ]and
letT= 3.
1.t=T= 3 .you have no choice, so your expected payout is
E(ξ 3 )= 1 / 2.
2.t=T 1 = 2 .If
ξ 2 <E(ξ^3 )
1 +r

=^1


4


you should continue as in this case your payout is
ξ 2 ( 1 +r)= 2 ξ 2 <E(ξ 3 )= 1 / 2.
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