Mathematics for Economists

(Greg DeLong) #1

Optimal stopping


DeÖnition


LetHt0 be a set of random payouts. The optimal stopping problem is
to Önd
sup
τ

E(H(τ))

whereτis an arbitrary stopping time. (A discrete random variableτis a
stopping time iffτ=tg2 Ftfor everytwhereFtis the set of
observable events at timet. This means that at every moment of timet
the condition of stopping is known at that moment. We want to exclude
referring for the future in the conditions of stopping.)
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