CHILD POVERTY AND INEQUALITY: THE WAY FORWARD

(Barry) #1

with lower dispersion of earnings. The minimum wage coverage


was f o u n d t o b e more far reaching than t h e neoclassical


theory would predict, as the minimum wage was found to lift wages


in both the formal and informal sectors. Indeed, though the


minimum wage is not binding in the informal sector, the study


found that, in 14 of the 19 countries analyzed, the wage distribution


in this sector was also enhanced.


Average wages rose even more slowly (ibid) and, despite their


recent hike, remained generally below their 2000 level, with the


exception of Chile. Such wage restraint policy may reflect the


greater concern of policy makers for creating jobs over improving


earnings. It also reflects the recognition that, unless backed by


increases in productivity, nominal wage raises may fuel inflation


with little effect on real wages. The emphasis placed on this


approach is confirmed by the rapid decline in unemployment in


both LOC and NO-LOC countries and a faster rise in wage


employment than in self-employment (Table 2), suggesting that


the policy of ‘formalizing employment’ produced some results.


Finally, in several countries, there is evidence that the wage


premium declined due to a growing supply of educated workers


(section 3.3) and a shift in production towards the unskilled


labor-intensive tradable sector. Overall, the labor market outcomes


support the view that LOC regimes paid greater attention to equity


issues.


Rising public so cial expenditure and redistribution


Public social expenditure started rising in the early-to-mid 1990s and


continued growing in the 2000s in most of the region (Table 6).


Most of the rise concerned social security, social assistance and


education (ibid). The rise was nearly universal and, of the 21


countries in the region, only Ecuador had in 2005 a social


expenditure/GDP ratio lower than in 1990 (CEPAL 2005). While


there still is a huge intra-regional variation
in social expenditure


(^52) ,
it appears that political orientation influenced the extent of the
(^52) In 2006, Cuba, Uruguay, Brazil, Argentina, Bolivia, Costa Rica, and
Panama had social expenditure/GDP ratios in the 15-20% b r a c k e t , w h i l e
i n most Central American and Andean countries they were below 10 %.

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