TYPE A QUADRANT TYPE C QUADRANT
TYPE DEF QUADRANT TYPE B QUADRANT
Note: Key indices of beliefs in the leader's operational code are scaled in standard
deviations along the vertical and horizontal axes of the revised Holsti typology. Reward,
Deter, Punish and Compel tactics are variants of a general strategy of reciprocity in which
Self initiates either an escalatory (E) move or de-escalatory (D) move and then responds
in kind to whether Other escalates (E) or de-escalates (D) in response to Self's initial move.
Appease, Bluff, Exploit, and Bully tactics are variants of a general strategy of cooperation
or conflict in which Self initiates either an escalatory (E) move or de-escalatory (D) move
and then violates the norm of reciprocity after Other escalates (E) or de-escalates (D) in
response to Self's initial move.
Fig. 14.1. Prediction template for key VICS indices. (Data from
Walker, Schafer, and Marfleet 2001.)
Appease
DED
P-l/I-1
Axis
+2.0
Reward
DDD
+1.5
FOLLOW/COOPERATE
STRATEGIES
Bluff
BED
P-4 -2.0 -1.5
Axis
Bluff
BED
SUBMIT/CONFLICT
STRATEGIES
Bully
EDE
+1.0
Deter
DEE
+.50
-1.0 -.50 0.00
-.50
Deter
DEE
-1.0
Reward Exploit
DDD DDE
COOPERATE/LEAD
STRATEGIES
Punish
EEE
+.50 +1.0 +1.5
Punish
EEE
Compel
EDD
+2.0 P-4
Axis
Exploit
DDE
CONFLICT/DOMINATE
-1.5
Punish
EEE
-2.0
P-l/I-1
Axis
STRATEGIES
Compel
EDD
Bully
EDE