12 Chapter 1
ExpLorEon yoUr oWn
As you read in Section 1.4, having a sample of test subjects or observations that is too small can skew the
results of experiments. This phenomenon is called sampling error. To demonstrate this for yourself, all you need is a partner, a blind-
fold, and a jar containing beans of different colors—jelly beans will do just fine (Figure 1.13). Have your partner stay outside the room while
you combine 120 beans of one color with 280 beans of the other color in a bowl. This will give you a ratio of 30 to 70 percent. With the
bowl hidden, blindfold your partner; then ask him or her to pick one bean from the mix. Hide the bowl again and instruct your friend to
remove the blindfold and tell you what color beans are in the bowl, based on this limited sample. The logical answer is that all the beans
are the color of the one selected.
Next repeat the trial, but this time ask your partner to select 50 beans from the bowl. Does this larger sample more closely approxi-
mate the actual ratio of beans in the bowl? You can do several more trials if you have time. Do your results support the idea that a larger
sample size more closely reflects the actual color ratio of beans?
Figure 1.13 Animated! Here’s one way you can demonstrate sampling error.
A Natalie, blindfolded,
randomly plucks a jelly
bean from a jar of 120
green and 280 black jelly
beans, a ratio of 30 to
70 percent.
B The jar is hidden
before she removes her
blindfold. She observes
a single green jelly bean
in her hand and assumes
the jar holds only green
jelly beans.
C Still blindfolded,
Natalie randomly picks
50 jelly beans from the
jar and ends up with 10
green and 40 black ones.
D The larger sample
leads her to assume
one-fifth of the jar’s jelly
beans are green and
four-fifths are black (a
ratio of 20 to 80 percent).
Her larger sample more
closely approximates the
jar’s green-to-black ratio.
The more times Natalie
repeats the sampling, the
greater the chance she
will come close to know-
ing the actual ratio.
All Photos: © Cengage Learning/Gary Head
A C
B D
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