age structure The relative
number of individuals of
each age in a population.
demographics A popula‑
tion’s vital statistics.
population density The
total number of individuals
in a given area of habitat.
total fertility rate (TFR)
The average number of
children born to women of
a population during their
reproductive years.
n Advances in agriculture, industrialization, sanitation, and
health care have fueled ever-faster growth of the human
population. This growth is a major factor in changes that
are occuring in Earth’s ecosystems.
The human population has grown rapidly
It took a long time, some 2.5 million
years, for the worldwide human
population to reach the one bil
lion milestone in 1804 (Figure 25.1).
Yet only a little over two centuries
later, the population topped seven
billion. Advances in agriculture,
industrialization, sanitation, and
health care have been key factors in
this rapid growth.
How fast a population grows depends on the balance
between births and deaths. Populations in different parts
of the world increase at different rates, but in general, birth
rates have been coming down worldwide. On the other
hand, death rates are falling, too, mainly because better
nutrition and health care are lowering infant mortality
(the percentage of babies who die in the first year of life).
Overall, the human population is on a steady growth tra
jectory and is projected to reach nine billion by 2050.
Countries expected to show the most growth are India,
China, Pakistan, Nigeria, Bangladesh, and Indonesia.
China and India combined make up 38 percent of the world
population. The United States is next in line. But with about
309 million people, it represents less than 5 percent of the
world population.
The total fertility rate (TFR) is the average number
of children born to women of a population during their
reproductive years. In 1950, the worldwide TFR averaged
6.5. Currently it is 2.8, but that is still far above replace
ment level of 2.1—the number of children a couple must
have to replace themselves. These numbers are averages.
In many developed nations TFRs are at or below replace
ment levels. Rates are highest in developing countries in
western Asia and Africa. Figure 25.2 has some examples
of the differences in the distribution of our planet’s
human population.
Even if every couple decides to bear no more than two
children, the world population will keep growing for
many decades. Can we grow enough food and find enough
drinkable water, energy sources, and all the wood, steel,
and other materials to meet everyone’s basic needs? That
seems like a tall order, especially because hundreds of mil
lions of people lack those necessities even now.
Figure 25.1 Agricultural revolu tions, industrialization, and improvements in health care have sustained the accelerated growth of
the human population over the last two centuries. In the growth curve (red) the vertical axis represents world population, in billions.
The dip between the years 1347 and 1351 is the time when sixty million people died from bubonic plague in Asia and Europe. (© Cengage
Learning; inset photo: NASA)
25.1 Human Population Growth
14,000 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9000 8000 7000 6000 5000 4000 3000 2000 1000 1000
B.C. A.D.
2014
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
agriculturally based
urban societies
1975
1999
2014
domestication of
plants, animals
9000 B.C.(about
11,000 years ago)
number of
individuals
(billions)
beginning of industrial,
scientific revolutions
Approximate population
10,440 years ago 5 million
By 1804 1 billion
By 1927 2 billion
By 1960 3 billion
By 1974 4 billion
By 1987 5 billion
By 1999 6 billion
By 2014 7 billion
472 Chapter 25
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