422 CHAPTER 16
in warmer places (see Figure 8.2). This is considered
an adaptation for conserving heat, because larger indi-
viduals have a lower ratio of surface area to volume. In
Chapter 2 we described several groups of birds, such as
hummingbirds and sunbirds, that have independently
evolved long slender bills for obtaining nectar from long
tubular flowers (see Figure 2.22). Convergent evolu-
tion is the foundation of the comparative method, which
consists of comparing sets of species to test hypotheses
about adaptation.
As we saw in Chapter 3, we can often infer the selec-
tion pressures responsible for a feature that has evolved
independently in many lineages by determining what
ecological or other factors are correlated with that trait.
We think long slender bills are adaptations for feeding
on nectar because that is what these several groups of
birds do. The comparative method is also used to test a
priori hypotheses (those that are developed before the
data are analyzed). For example, in species in which a
female mates with multiple males, the several males’
sperm compete to fertilize eggs. Our understanding of
sexual selection leads to a prediction: males that produce
more sperm should have a fitness advantage. In Chapter
3, we saw that in primates, the quantity of sperm pro-
duced is correlated with the size of the testes, and that
as our hypothesis predicts, males in polygamous species
have larger testes, relative to body mass, than males in
monogamous species (see Figure 3.20).
One important use of the comparative method is to
determine if two features tend to evolve together, which
might suggest that having one feature favors the evolution of the second, or that
both features are adaptations to the same environmental variable. Do warm-
blooded animals tend to have larger brains, perhaps because higher metabolic rates
allow growth of more nervous tissue? To answer questions such as that, we need
to be wary of a potential complication: the phylogenetic relations of the species. To
see why this is so, consider the correlation between the ability to fly and the mode
of reproduction in birds and mammals. Most birds fly and all lay eggs, while most
mammals do not fly and most give live birth. Does that suggest that those two traits
are evolutionarily linked because of some adaptive reason? Almost certainly not.
The correlation here results because the ancestor of all birds laid eggs and flew,
while the ancestor of all marsupials and placental mammals gave live birth and did
not fly. The many species of living birds and mammals have those same characters
simply because they inherited them from their ancestors. In statistical terms, we
would say that the various species are not independent data points because of their
shared evolutionary history.
We therefore need to test for adaptive coupling of characters during evolution,
while controlling for phylogenetic relations. One way to do that uses ancestral state
reconstruction. The first step is to estimate the states for two characters at each node
(or branch point) in the phylogeny. We then ask as we move along each branch of
the tree, is a change in the state of one trait correlated with a change in the second?
More sophisticated versions of this approach take into account uncertainty in the
phylogeny and in the ancestral states. When Paul Harvey and collaborators ana-
lyzed the primate data this way, they concluded that there had been many shifts
Futuyma Kirkpatrick Evolution, 4e
Sinauer Associates
Troutt Visual Services
Evolution4e_16.22.ai Date 01-03-2017
1975 1985 1995 2005 2015
Year of
outbreak
SL 2014
GN
DRC
Gabon
Congo
Gabon
Gabon
DRC
DRC
DRC
DRC
Gabon
Congo
2007–2008
2001–2005
2001–2003
1994–1996
1976–1977
1975
1988
1999
2004
Year
The Ebola virus strain in 2014 probably
had a common ancestor with the strain
in the smaller 2007–2008 outbreak in
Democratic Republic of Congo.
Q: Would this gure benet from a balloon caption? I’ve added one
as an example.
FIGURE 16.21 A gene tree for Ebola virus genotypes in dated
outbreaks in West Africa, with dates of common ancestors derived by
phylogenetic estimation procedures. The virus strain in the devas-
tating outbreak of 2014 probably had a common ancestor in 2004
with the strain in the smaller 2007–2008 outbreak in the Democratic
Republic of Congo (DRC). The other countries that suffered outbreaks
were Sierra Leone (SL), Guinea (GN), Gabon, and Congo. (After [14].)
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