DEMogRaPhic DEvEloPMENTS iN ThE MENa REgioN 217
long-standing conf licts (e.g., in Palestine) and newer conf licts and crises
(see Faath & Mattes in this volume).
Table 7.6 Refugees according to country of asylum and country of origin, end 2010
(’000)
Country of residence Country of origin
Refugees* Internally Displaced
Persons**To t a l RefugeesEU 1, 393. 5 0.0 1, 393. 5 13. 0
MENa 3, 012. 8 1, 56 4.6 4 , 5 7 7. 4 2,055.7
Egypt 95.1 0.0 95.1 6.9
Morocco 0.8 0.0 0.8 2.3
Turkey 10.0 0.0 10.0 146.8Notes: *accredited refugees according to UNhcR statute as well as persons in a refugee-like
situation; ** iDPs protected/ assisted by UNhcR, including people in iDP-like situations
Source: UNhcR (2011)
The three sample countries are currently not severely affected by refugee
migration. There are, however, 147,000 refugees from Turkey living in other
countries (largely Kurds). In the region there have been many examples of
large groups of refugees destabilising political situations – e.g., in Lebanon
and in Jordan.
7.3 Future population dynamics: Potential and limitations
The currently slowing but still high population growth in the MENA
region carries with it the potential for future population dynamics. Pro-
jections of future population growth allow us to estimate the effects of
demographic changes and thus judge the trends already present in today’s
structures. The broadest international comparative data for countries
around the world stem from the UNPD, which regularly publishes an
extensive set of indicators. This publication describes the parameters
used in great detail and is recognised internationally for its expertise. The
following remarks ref lect the results of the latest population projection
from the year 2011.