78
My Best Pick
22 December 2017 / Outlook BUSINESS
I
ndia’s infrastructure is expected to witness
a substantial boost in the coming years,
backed by the government’s core sector
push. The Centre had allocated a record
# 3. 69 lakh crore to infrastructure in the previous
Budget. A lot of other factors, too, have come togeth-
er, making it a propitious time for the sector. Moody’s
has just delivered the good news of a rating upgrade,
which will, in turn, favourably impact the rating of
public sector enterprises. With bank recapitalisation
in the works as well, we see infrastructure as a sector
to go long on.
Utilities have always been considered as an option
that enables investors to capture higher-than-aver-
age dividend. Also, utilities are low-beta stocks and
provide relatively stable growth. Given the current
state of development and policy environment, Pow-
ergrid Corporation of India provides a superior com-
bination of growth and stability. I see this as the best
utility stock which will see a sustained appreciation
over the next four to fi ve years.
The government seems determined to pursue a path
of investment-led growth with infrastructure as the
key area. The current regime intends to provide 24 x 7
reliable power supply and is working towards policies
to enable that. Further, the Ujwal Discom Assurance
Yojana scheme has reduced losses in state-run utili-
ties and improved effi ciencies. Transmission and dis-
tribution sectors had accumulated losses of about 4 %
of GDP and 22 % of all outstanding bank debt was in
the power sector by the end of 2015. The scheme aims
to bring the gap between average tariff realised and
average cost of supply to zero.
The current regime also aims to make the power
purchase agreements enforceable, which have severe-
ly hurt power generating companies, especially in the
renewable space. The Centre is targeting generation
of two trillion units of energy by 2019. This means
increasing the current production capacity by two
times more to provide 24 x 7 electricity.
This is the reason why utilities should deliver a supe-
rior risk-adjusted return in an economy such as India.
Though, not all utility stocks are of investment grade,
Powergrid, which transmits more than 50 % of total
power generated in the country, certainly makes the
cut. The company is also setting superior standards
in project management and operations for the indus-
try, leveraging capabilities to consistently generate
maximum value for all stakeholders.
BEST OF THE REST
Powergrid has been ranked as the fastest growing
electric utility company in Asia for the past four
consecutive years. The company owns and operates
about 85 % of the country’s total extra-high voltage/
ultra-high voltage transmission network. It has main-
tained availability of transmission at 99. 8 % in FY 17 ,
highest by Indian standards.
The company has also diversifi ed into railway elec-
trifi cation, telecom towers and data centres. Indian
Railways plans to electrify all its routes by FY 21 -
FY 22 , for which Powergrid has already started imple-
menting pilot projects. Other opportunities include
30 GW wind, 20 GW solar ultra-mega power plant and
7 GW nuclear integration into the national grid. Pow-
ergrid’s management has also consciously sought to
diversify revenue streams by increasing the share of
consultancy fees and engineering, procurement and
construction work. Newer avenues can emerge from
smart cities and electric vehicles. The company has
Note: Market related data as on December 1, 2017; Financials for
FY17; Consolidated fi nancials considered wherever applicable
Data: Ace Equity
Lion’s share
Powergrid is the market leader in power transmission
No. of participated projects (as on Oct 2017)
Powergrid
Others 2,280
2,778 55%
45%
Source: Company
net sales#25 ,704cr
stock price# 203 M-CAP#1 , 06 ,123cr
ROE 16.84%