TheEconomistMay21st 2022 Europe 51
G
reece’scentre-rightgovernment
hasdonea finejobofpolishingits
imagewithtouristsandinvestorssince
KyriakosMitsotakistookoverasprime
ministerin2019.Thecountry’sancient
heritage,notleasttheinventionofde
mocracy,playsa bigroleinthemessag
ing.Butjustasinthefifthcenturybc,
freedomofspeechmatterstoo.
Greecetumbled 38 placesthisyearin
theWorldPressFreedomIndexpub
lishedbyReportersWithoutBorders
(rwb), anngobasedinParis.Ranking
108th(outof180),theGreeksforthefirst
timelaggedbehindallothereucountries
aswellastheirBalkanneighbours.
A tweaktothepenalcodelastyear
makingjournalists,editorsandpub
lishersliabletoa prisontermforspread
ingfakenewsisonereasonfortheIca
ruslikeplummet.Anotheristheun
solvedmurderofGiorgosKaraivaz,an
investigativereportergunneddown
morethana yearagooutsidehishome.
Themostrecentcauseforconcernis
thesurveillancein 2020 and 2021 of
ThanasisKoukakis,a financialeditor
probingpossiblecollusionbetweenlocal
bankersaccusedofwrongdoingand
publicprosecutorsandjudges.TheCiti
zenLab,a Canadiancyberwatchdog,has
confirmedthatMrKoukakis’smobile
phonewasinfectedlastyearwithPreda
tor,a hackingsoftwaremadebyCytrox,
anIsraeliownedcompanybasedin
NorthMacedonia.Thesoftwareissimi
lartoPegasus,theIsraelispywareac
quiredbyvariousrepressivegovern
mentstoeavesdroponactivistsand
otherpoliticians.Thegovernment’s
spokesmaninsiststhattheGreekau
thoritieshavenotusedit,andhasalso
questionedthemethodologyemployed
byrwbincompilingitsindex.
Thereareotherworries.Statehand
outstocashstrappedwebsitesand
newspapersarerestrictedtoprogovern
mentmedia,saysrwb; reporterscover
ing”pushbacks”ofrefugeesfromAegean
islandsbytheGreekcoastguardareoften
harassed;journalistscomplainofbeing
bulliedonthephonebyaidesinthe
primeminister’soffice.
Thefreespeechrowisundermining
thegovernment’simpressiveachieve
mentselsewhere.Touristsarenowflock
ingbackaftera twoyeargapowingto
covid19.Greeceattracteda record€5bn
($5.3bn)offoreigninvestmentlastyear,
withAmazonandMicrosoftamongthe
bignamefirmssettinguparoundthe
capital.Andthecashisstartingtoflow
fromGreece’s€31bnshareoftheeu’s
covidrecoveryfund.Anunhampered
presshasa crucialparttoplayinmaking
sureallthatcashisspentfairlyandwell.
Greece
Hemlockfor hacks
ATHENS
Rowsoverpressfreedomovershadowthegovernment’sachievements
Lessthanfree
cumbent state premier, was dancing and
chanting along.
Mr Wüst’s landslide surprised every
one. In the last polls before the vote the
cdu and the Social Democratic Party (spd)
were neckandneck. Yet the cduended up
fully nine percentage points ahead, with
35.7% compared with 26.7% for the spd.
The other big winners were the Greens,
who tripled their share of the vote to 18.2%;
the other big loser was the freemarket Free
Democratic Party (fdp), which saw its
share halve, to just under 6%, compared
with the election in 2017.
The result is the second painful setback
on consecutive weekends for Olaf Scholz,
Germany’s chancellor, who campaigned
hard for Thomas Kutschaty, the spdcandi
date for premier innrw. On May 8th the
spdsuffered a humiliating defeat at state
elections in SchleswigHolstein, taking
only 16% of the votes, the worst result in its
history in the state (the fdpalso lost votes,
whereas the Greens won big). But the state
election in nrw is far more significant
than SchleswigHolstein’s becausenrwis
the state with the biggest economy and the
highest number of inhabitants, with a fifth
of the entire population of Germany.
“This will unsettle the Ampel coalition,”
says Stefan Marschall of Düsseldorf Uni
versity, referring to the “trafficlight” alli
ance Mr Scholz heads at the federal level of
the spd, fdpand Greens. The Greens will
be even more selfconfident after such suc
cess in two state elections. And the fdpis
likely to be more prickly, after faring poor
ly twice in a row. As for Mr Scholz, his au
thority at the head of his unwieldy co
alition is certain to have been dented.
Some analysts are already referring to him
as a oneterm chancellor.
The Greens have been the great benefi
ciaries of the Ampel alliance. Annalena
Baerbock, the Green foreign minister, and
Robert Habeck, the Green economy minis
ter and vicechancellor, are more popular
than either Mr Scholz or Christian Lindner,
the finance minister, who is leader of the
fdp. Yet the Greens’ jubilation about their
success in nrwhas been muted. “They un
derstand the explosive power of the elec
tion result,” says Klaus Schubert of Mün
ster University. The coalition needs to ben
efit all three parties if it is to hold together.
Mr Lindner, who hails from nrwand
led the local fdpat state elections there in
2012 and 2017, said the result was a “disas
trous defeat” for his party. For a while the
fdp even worried that it might not win 5%
of the vote, the hurdle that must be crossed
to secure any seats in the state parliament
at all. The party has been the junior partner
in Mr Wüst’s governing coalition. But Joa
chim Stamp, the local fdpleader, failed to
excite voters.
The Greens are now the kingmakers in
nrw, since the cduand fdpno longer have
enough seats to continue their governing
alliance. They could join forces with the
spdand the fdpfor a local version of the
nationalAmpelcoalition; or form a red
green government. Yet most observers ex
pect the Greens will team up with thecdu,
again the largest party in the state. Hessen
and BadenWürttemberg are both run by
cduGreen coalitions—and Schleswig
Holstein may be about to get one, says
Frank Decker of Bonn University. The least
likely potential government is a grand co
alition of thebattered spd and the cdu.
Both partieshavesignalled little interest in
such a combo.n
More pain, no gain
Germany, North Rhine-Westphalia
State-election results, % of list vote by party
Source: North Rhine-Westphalia state returning ocer
2017
2022
100806040200
CDU SPD Greens FDP AfD
Others