IFR Magazine - October 27, 2018

(Frankie) #1

53ûINVESTMENT
GRADEûISSUANCEûHASû
CONSISTENTLYûSATûNEARLYû53BNûBELOWûLASTû
YEARSûLEVELS ûWITHû53TRNûPRINTEDûYEAR
TO
DATEû)FûTHATûCONTINUES ûTHISûWILLûBEûTHEû
lRSTûTIMEûINûEIGHTûYEARSûTHATûTHEûMARKETûDOESû
NOTûSETûAûNEWûSUPPLYûRECORD
-ANYûBANKSûINûPARTICULARûHAVEûBEENû
NOTABLYûABSENTûINûTHEûPASTûFEWûDAYS ûDESPITEû
COMINGûOUTûOFûEARNINGSûBLACKOUTS
Yet some in the market still expect a
pick-up in issuance in the remaining weeks
OFûTHEûYEAR ûESPECIALLYûIFûSOMEûSTABILITYû
RETURNSûTOûEQUITIES
h)SSUERSûHAVEûFROMûNOWûUNTILûTHEûlRSTûTWOû
WEEKSûOFû.OVEMBERûTOûGETûANYTHINGûDONE ûSOû
THEûWINDOWûISûGETTINGûSMALLERûANDûSMALLER vû
SAIDûONEûPORTFOLIOûMANAGER
h7HENEVERûYOUûGETûTHOSEûPERIODSûOFûBLUEû
SKIES ûPEOPLEûAREûGOINGûTOûFALLûOVERû
themselves to push their way to the front of
THEûLINEv


CONSTELLATION BRANDS GETS SEED
MONEY FOR CANNABIS PLAY


CONSTELLATION BRANDS priced a four-part
53BNûBONDûLASTûWEEKûTOûlNANCEûITSû
53BNûINVESTMENTûINû#ANADIANûCANNABISû
company CANOPY GROWTH
The deal - expected to increase
Constellation’s leverage to around 4x from
X ûACCORDINGûTOû#REDIT3IGHTSû
ûSAWûPRICEû
PROGRESSIONûOFûBP
BP
.EWûLEVERAGEûWILLûPUTûTHEûCOMPANYûINûTHEû
middle pack of other large food-and-
BEVERAGEûCREDITSûSEEKINGû-!ûDEALS ûSAIDû
*AMESû$UNN ûSENIORûANALYSTûOFû53ûCONSUMERû
GOODSûATû#REDIT3IGHTS
“This is the largest investment we’ve seen
INTOûTHEûCANNABISûFOOD
AND
BEVERAGEûSPACE û
and there are concerns that Constellation is
THEûlRSTûMOVER vûHEûTOLDû)&2
“But it doesn’t take away from the core
STRENGTHSûOFû#ONSTELLATIONû"RANDS vûHEûSAID
“They have a business that generates a lot
OFûCASHmOW ûITûHASûSTRONGûMARGINS ûBETTERû


growth than some of the other Triple B
names in the food-and-beverage space and
THEYûHAVEûSOMEûmEXIBILITYûTOûTAKEûONûMOREû
leverage and the ability to delever in the
COMINGûYEARSv
&ORûEXAMPLE û'ENERALû-ILLSûISûLEVEREDûATû
X ûWHILEû+EURIGû$Rû0EPPERûISûUPûTOûXûONû
AûPROûFORMAûBASIS ûACCORDINGûTOû#REDIT3IGHTS
Constellation approached investors with
SEVEN ûûANDû
YEARûlXED
RATEûBONDS ûASû
WELLûASûAûTHREE
YEARûNON
CALLûONEûmOATER
4HEûDEAL ûRATEDû"AA""" ûPRICEDûTIGHTERû
than initial price thoughts of three-month
,IBORûPLUSûBPûAREAûONûTHEû&2. û4REASURIESû
PLUSûBPûAREAûONûTHEûSEVEN
YEAR ûBPû
area on the 10-year and 205bp area on the

YEAR
#ONSTELLATIONûPRICEDûAû53MûmOATERûATû
BP ûAû53MûSEVEN
YEARûATûBP ûAû
53Mû
YEARûATûBPûANDûAû53Mû

YEARûATûBP
!CTIVEûBOOKRUNNERSûWEREûGoldman Sachs û
Bank of America Merrill Lynch and JP Morgan
h7HATûWEûSEEûWITHûTHESEûDEALSûRECENTLYûISû
THATû)04ûENDSûUPûBEINGûABOUTûBPûWIDEû&ORû
EXAMPLE ûLASTûWEEKûWITHû#ONAGRAû"RANDSûWEû
SAWûABOUTûBPûOFûTIGHTENINGûFROMû)04 vû
$UNNûSAID
The investment in Canopy was
ANNOUNCEDûINû!UGUSTûANDûISûTHEûLARGESTûPLAYû
YETûFROMûAû53ûBEVERAGEûCOMPANYûINû
#ANADASûGROWINGûCANNABISûMARKET ûWHICHû
WASûLEGALISEDûJUSTûTWOûWEEKSûAGO
!"û)N"EVûANDû-OLSONû#OORSûHAVEûALSOû
MADEûINVESTMENTSûINûTHEûSPACE ûWHILEû#OCA
#OLAûISûEYEINGûDRINKSûINFUSEDûWITHû#"$ ûTHEû
non-psychoactive ingredient in marijuana
LEGALûINûTHEû53

FORD EARNINGS CALL UNNERVES BOND
INVESTORS: REPORT

FORD did little to ease investor worries about
a return to junk territory on its latest
EARNINGSûCALL ûACCORDINGûTOûTHEûINDEPENDENTû
RESEARCHûCOMPANYû#REDIT3IGHTS

CFO Robert Shanks appeared to shrug off
concerns about another trip into junk for
THEûICONICû53ûCARMAKER ûWHICHûREGAINEDûITSû
investment-grade rating in 2012 after six
YEARS
“From a credit standpoint we feel even
LESSûCOMFORTABLEûAFTERûTHEû1ûCALL vû
#REDIT3IGHTSûSAID
)TûCALLEDûHISûPERFORMANCEûhLONG
WINDEDvû
ANDûhLESSûTHANûCONVINCINGvûAFTERû3HANKSû
expressed “unwillingness to categorically
AFlRMûTHEûIMPORTANCEûOFûREMAININGû
INVESTMENTûGRADEv
Shanks said the automaker was
committed to its dividend payout and did
not provide a timeline or cost breakdown of
&ORDSû53BNûRESTRUCTURINGûPLAN
7HILEûTHEREûWEREûNOûBIGûNEGATIVEû
SURPRISESûINûTHEûCOMPANYSûEARNINGS ûANDû
&ORDûBEATû.ORTHû!MERICANûEXPECTATIONS ûTHATû
WASûLARGELYûOFFSETûBYûNEGATIVESûINû!SIAûANDû
%UROPE
CreditSights said it believes Ford could be
downgraded to high-yield within the next
FOURûQUARTERSû4HEûCOMPANYûHOLDSûSOMEû
53BNûOFûDEBT ûACCORDINGûTOû)#%û"!-,û
DATA
%VENûSO û&ORDSûBONDSûWEREûMOSTLYûTIGHTERû
INû4HURSDAYûTRADE ûACCORDINGûTOû-ARKET!XESSû
DATA
“It’s very clear in talking with the rating
AGENCIESûTHAT ûEVENûIFûWEûSTOPPEDûPAYINGûAû
DIVIDEND ûTHATûDOESNTûADDRESSûTHEûOPERATINGû
PERFORMANCE vû3HANKSûSAIDûONûTHEûCALL
“So we’re extremely focused around the
%BITûMARGIN ûRETURNûONûINVESTEDûCAPITALû7Eû
are extremely focused on getting this
business back on to a stronger operating
performance track because that is the issue
that the rating agencies are expressing
CONCERNûAROUNDv
-OODYSûDOWNGRADEDû&ORDûTOûONEûNOTCHû
ABOVEûJUNK û"AA ûWITHûAûNEGATIVEûOUTLOOKûINû
!UGUSTû30ûKEPTûTHEûAUTOMAKERûATûAûMID
Triple B rating but shifted its outlook to
NEGATIVEûINû*ULY

BONDS CORPORATES

ALL INVESTMENT-GRADE BONDS IN EUROS
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE


Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues €(m) (%)


1 BNP Paribas 213 53,368.49 7.1
2 SG 195 49,808.10 6.7
3 HSBC 230 48,843.26 6.5
4 JP Morgan 160 45,554.11 6.1
5 Credit Agricole 182 44,197.78 5.9
6 Deutsche Bank 177 41,147.34 5.5
7 Barclays 133 40,426.11 5.4
8 UniCredit 171 38,782.52 5.2
9 Goldman Sachs 92 32,396.34 4.3
10 Citigroup 125 30,717.86 4.1
Total 1,066 747,540.92
Excluding ABS/MBS, equity-related debt.


Source: Refinitiv SDC code: N9


ALL CORPORATE BONDS IN STERLING
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues £(m) (%)
1 HSBC 16 1,961.64 14.6
2 Barclays 15 1,711.77 12.7
3 RBC 9 1,354.74 10.1
4 Lloyds Bank 13 1,141.78 8.5
5 NatWest Markets 12 955.46 7.1
6 BNP Paribas 10 691.28 5.1
7 Credit Suisse 6 586.72 4.4
8 Citigroup 6 573.55 4.3
9 Morgan Stanley 4 538.57 4.0
10 Deutsche Bank 5 482.61 3.6
Total 45 13,450.40

Source: Refinitiv SDC code: N8a

ALL SWISS FRANC BONDS EXCLUDING
SECURITISATIONS
BOOKRUNNERS: 1/1/2018 TO DATE
Managing No of Total Share
bank or group issues SFr(m) (%)
1 Credit Suisse 115 12,030.84 28.6
2 UBS 103 11,759.68 27.9
3 ZKB 47 4,592.18 10.9
4 Verband Schweizerischer  12 4,259.71 10.1
5 Raiffeisen Schweiz  33 2,688.53 6.4
6 Deutsche Bank 13 1,571.19 3.7
7 BNP Paribas 16 1,562.78 3.7
8 Commerzbank 10 799.34 1.9
9 HSBC 7 735.63 1.7
10 Basler KB 3 341.92 0.8
Total 204 42,086.83
Including preferreds. Excluding equity-related debt.
Source: Refinitiv SDC code: K06b
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