Innovations in Dryland Agriculture

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based on the availability of land, water, finances, labour and machinery, and signals
from the environment (e.g. climate, markets). In contrast, the more rigid farming
system was located in Goondiwindi, Queensland, Australia and could be character-
ised as more calendar driven following a relatively fixed sequence of crops.
Simulated results showed that in both environments (about 800 km apart in a
north–south transect) the more plastic farm management strategy had higher median
profits and was less risky for the baseline and 2030 climate change scenarios, sug-
gesting that farming systems with higher levels of plasticity would enable farmers
to more effectively respond to climate shifts, thus ensuring economic viability of
their farm business. They also found that, in the case studies analysed here, most of
the impact from the climate change scenarios on farm profit and economic risk
originated from important reductions in cropping intensity and changes in crop mix
rather than from changes in the yield of individual crops (Rodriguez et al. 2011 ).
Changes in cropping intensity and crop mix were explained by the combination
of reductions in the number of sowing opportunities around critical times in the
cropping calendar, and to operational constraints at the whole-farm level i.e., lim-
ited work capacity in an environment having fewer and more concentrated sowing
opportunities. This indicates that indirect impacts from shifts in climate on farm
operations may be more important than direct impacts from climate on the yield of
individual crops. They concluded that, due to the complexity of farm businesses,
impact assessments and opportunities for adaptation to climate variability and
change may need to be pursued at higher integration levels than the crop or the field
i.e. the farm level.


3 Learning by Doing – Learning by Modelling

Irrespective of the levels of wealth/poverty or the scale of the agricultural practice,
farmers intuitively adapt their management in response to perceived changes in their
operational environment; a process that requires access to relevant experiential
information (Schwartz and Sharpe 2006 ). The decision-making processes that
underlie decision making has been described as the combined operation of two sys-
tems: a fast, automatic, effortless, unconscious system resembling a neural network
and a slow, deliberate, effortful, conscious system better described as being orga-
nized by rules (Kahneman 2003 ). The operation of the former (intuition or practical
wisdom – after Schwartz and Sharpe 2006 ) is mandatory; operation of the latter
(conscious, rules-based) is optional. Practical wisdom, requires the right goals, the
right motives and builds over time – with practice, as it requires practical knowledge
for the decision maker to change old habits – “it takes an enormous amount of prac-
tice to change your intuition” (Kahneman 2011 ). It also requires enough flexibility,
autonomy and confidence in the available options e.g. technological or managerial,
for the decision maker to respond appropriately to a given situation. An interesting
problem arises in the absence of relevant experiential practice (e.g. in the face of


D. Rodriguez et al.
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