10 The Sunday Times June 5, 2022
BUSINESS
That hurricane is right out there,
down the road, coming our way. We
just don’t know if it’s a minor one or
Superstorm Sandy
JPMorgan Chase boss Jamie Dimon
predicted torrid economic times
following the Ukraine war and inflation
Yes
35%
No
65%
The Queen’s Platinum Jubilee
was not the only party in
town last week.
On Wednesday evening,
dealmaker Mervyn Metcalf
threw an anniversary knees-
up of his own to celebrate a
decade in business for his
London boutique firm Dean
Street Advisers.
The former Merrill Lynch
banker founded Dean Street
— which has advised on deals
such as the £1.2 billion sale of
esure in 2018 — with his
colleague Graeme Atkinson
at the height of the Greek
sovereign debt crisis. It is
based on the Soho street of
the same name, where
Metcalf also has a flat
adorned with an impressive
collection of modern art.
The bash was held at the
Marylebone hotel, where
guests including YouGov
chairman Roger Parry, 69
this month, and his wife
Johanna Waterous, 64,
swigged champagne.
The event had plenty to
live up to. Metcalf ’s 50th
birthday party in March at
the Century Club in Soho was
quite the spectacle. His
mother had a surprise in
store for her son, a Star Wars
fan, sending half a dozen
stormtroopers to the event.
“No party now is complete
without stormtroopers,”
Metcalf jokes. They must
have had Jubilee plans last
week.
The plot thickens
at troubled THG
There will be no shortage of
intrigue at THG’s annual
shareholder meeting this
Friday. Joining chief
executive Matt Moulding, 50,
on stage will be his fellow
board director Iain
McDonald, who is combining
some of his humdrum non-
executive duties with efforts
to buy the entire company.
Belerion Capital, where
McDonald is chief investment
officer, tabled a £2 billion bid
to end THG’s troubled stay on
the public markets.
McDonald’s boardroom
colleagues rejected
Belerion’s approach last
month.
McDonald, 51, is
understood to be excluded
from board conversations
pertaining to takeover
interest — but if Glass Lewis
gets its way, he will soon be
excluded from everything.
The shareholder advisory
firm has recommended that
THG’s investors vote against
McDonald’s re-election on
the basis that he has sat on
the board for 12 years.
Belerion has until June 16
to clarify its takeover
intentions. Those attending
this Friday’s meeting at
Manchester airport’s
Marriott hotel will no doubt
be scrutinising the on-stage
body language.
Spin your way
out of this one...
Talking of retail prima
donnas, is Mike Ashley’s
Frasers Group finally
growing up?
Since the Sports Direct
founder’s son-in-law Michael
Murray, 32, took over as chief
executive, Frasers has
appointed Sir Alan Parker’s
Brunswick to, presumably,
shift the narrative away from
alleged Dickensian working
conditions and vomiting in
fireplaces.
The City spinners will be
well aware that they are not
dealing with an ordinary
client. As representatives to
Debenhams, the PR firm had
a front-row seat as Ashley, 57,
booted the executives of the
collapsed department store
group off the board and
demanded others take lie
detector tests.
Still, a fee is a fee.
Quick to criticise,
slow to report
Sir Martin Sorrell was back
giving his views on how the
world works last week.
The advertising tycoon, 77,
took aim at the Bank of
England’s rate-setters for
delaying the decision to hike
the cost of borrowing to
tackle rising inflation.
He said: “It is fair to say
that they were behind the
curve, or behind the rate at
which they should do it.”
Sorrell knows a thing or
two about delays. This year,
S4Capital, the digital
marketing group he created
after leaving WPP, has twice
delayed the release of its
annual results because
auditors at PwC were not
happy with the numbers.
The party force is strong in Star Wars fan Mervyn Metcalf
Matt and Jodie Moulding
Soho’s finest see stars
but not another galaxy
6 Boris Johnson was in typically jovial form on July 22, 2020,
when he attended the first virtual meeting of the Jet Zero
Council to explore ways to decarbonise aviation. The prime
minister thanked his colleague, then-business secretary Alok
Sharma, before adding: “Or as I like to call him, ‘Alcock’.”
Some startled guests — who included Rolls-Royce chief
Warren East and easyJet boss Johan Lundgren — assumed it
was a rude Bullingdon joke. But, thankfully, Johnson was in
fact referring to Britons John Alcock and Arthur Brown, who
became the first aviators to cross the Atlantic in 1919. Sharma
and transport secretary Grant Shapps were planning to make
the first transatlantic flight in a zero-carbon passenger jet.
That’s a relief.
SUNDAY TIMES PHOTOGRAPHER RICHARD POHLE
Jamie Nimmo
JUST SAYING...
FUNNY BUSINESS
TWITTER POLL
Was Ryanair’s chief
executive Michael O’Leary
right when he said the
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35 Segro 1084.0-34.5 1436.5 1050.5 1.9 3.2 13.1
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153 OSB 512.0 -16.5 599.0 418.8 5.1 6.8 2.3
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197 Pets at Home 338.8 +1.8 519.0 278.0 3.5 13.8 1.7
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195 Playtech 550.0 -12.0 770.0 351.0 0.0 2.9 1.7
143 Polar Capital Tech Trust 1946.0 +6.0 2750.0 1816.0 0.0 3.3 2.6
177 Primary Health Prop 145.7 -2.3 169.6 131.1 3.4 14.8 1.9
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181 Redrow 528.0 -1.0 718.8 500.0 5.4 6.5 1.9
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82 Rightmove 586.6 -9.2 800.4 533.4 1.3 27.6 4.9
4 Rio Tinto 5758.0 +56.0 6292.0 4375.5 10.9 5.6 96.8
105 RIT Capital Partners 2415.0 -40.0 2765.0 2330.0 1.5 4.4 3.8
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157 Rotork 280.0 +11.2 373.4 260.2 2.3 30.4 2.4
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22 Experian 2568.0 -127.0 3667.0 2506.0 1.6 25.8 23.6
94 F&C Investment Trust 831.0 -2.0 946.0 779.0 1.5 4.8 4.3
183 Fevertree Drinks 1509.0-66.02812.0 1460.0 1.1 39.5 1.8
188 Finsbury Growth & Inc Tr 787.0 -10.0 930.0 756.0 1.2 16.2 1.7
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115 Frasers 698.5 +9.0 813.5 562.5 0.0 N.A 3.4
70 Fresnillo 769.0-33.0 986.8 622.4 3.7 16.9 5.7
152 Future 1961.0 +1.0 3910.01831.0 0.1 27.7 2.4
154 Games Workshop 7225.0 +75.0 12220.0 6365.0 2.8 19.9 2.4
185 Genus 2674.0-60.0 6070.0 2234.0 1.2 49.3 1.8
10 Glencore 523.7 -2.5 535.6 296.2 3.9 17.7 68.8
162 Grafton 924.8 -23.2 1412.0 873.3 3.3 10.7 2.2
156 Grainger 312.8 +0.6 335.0 269.8 1.7 15.4 2.3
110 Greencoat UK Wind 149.6 -1.4 159.9 126.6 4.8 8.2 3.5
159 Greggs 2238.0 -2.03416.0 2094.0 2.5 19.6 2.3
6 GSK 1707.8 -25.4 1810.4 1343.4 4.4 16.9 86.8
46 Halma 2181.0-84.03216.0 2080.0 0.8 31.6 8.3
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173 Hays 121.6 -1.7 176.7 112.4 1.8 17.6 2.0
186 HgCapital Trust 375.0 -14.5 454.0 332.0 1.9 2.7 1.7
113 HICL Infrastructure 175.6 +0.2 183.0 161.0 4.7 9.2 3.4
107 Hikma Pharmaceuticals 1673.0 -15.5 2690.0 1673.0 2.6 11.6 3.7
200 Hilton Food 1062.0 -62.01250.0 1004.0 2.8 23.9 0.9
116 Hiscox 912.0-44.0 990.2 787.6 3.2 21.0 3.2
100 HomeServe 1165.0 +0.0 1166.0 608.5 0.6 29.6 3.9
102 Howden Joinery 674.8 -1.0 975.6 649.8 2.9 12.7 3.9
3 HSBC 529.6 -2.8 567.2 359.8 3.9 11.7 106.4
123 IG 714.0 -11.0 945.0 702.0 6.1 7.3 3.1
108 IMI 1407.0 +41.01838.0 1246.0 1.7 19.2 3.7
30 Imperial Brands 1791.5 -5.51857.0 1486.0 7.8 8.4 17.0
135 Inchcape 728.5 -11.5 933.0 647.0 3.1 24.7 2.7
161 Indivior 331.8 +9.6 336.8 144.7 0.0 19.2 2.3
50 Informa 537.4 -10.6 624.0 464.4 0.0 106.4 7.9
45 InterContinental Hotels 4841.0-95.0 5338.0 4399.0 1.5 42.1 8.9
88 Intermediate Capital 1540.5 -55.5 2379.0 1338.5 4.9 8.4 4.5
64 International Airlines Group 125.9 -4.6 204.5 116.2 0.0 N.A 6.2
121 International Public Part 166.6 +1.2 174.8 156.0 4.5 21.7 3.2
53 Intertek 4558.0 -117.0 5782.0 4558.0 2.3 25.6 7.4
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134 ITV 70.6 -0.0 132.5 67.1 4.7 7.6 2.8
147 IWG 245.6 -2.0 369.2 222.1 0.0 N.A 2.5
79 J Sainsbury 227.2 -3.9 340.0 227.2 1.4 7.9 5.3
36 3i Group 1238.5-44.01503.5 1138.5 3.8 3.0 12.1
120 3I Infrastructure 348.5 -6.5 366.5 294.5 3.0 7.7 3.1
138 Abcam 1182.0+10.01750.0 1049.0 0.0 693.7 2.7
95 Abrdn 192.8 -3.4 299.0 178.9 7.6 4.2 4.2
62 Admiral 2201.0 -37.0 3688.0 2147.0 5.9 11.2 6.6
69 Airtel Africa 153.9 -6.0 160.3 76.7 2.6 11.5 5.8
130 Alliance Trust 964.0 +3.0 1078.0 901.0 2.0 5.7 2.9
11 Anglo American 3850.0 +47.04170.5 2470.5 6.0 7.1 51.5
33 Antofagasta 1495.0 +25.0 1781.5 1227.0 8.1 14.4 14.7
196 Ashmore 241.8 +0.8 410.8 216.0 7.0 8.2 1.7
29 Ashtead 4011.0 -109.0 6450.0 3765.0 1.2 19.1 17.8
34 Associated British Foods 1705.0 -31.0 2367.0 1548.5 1.6 17.0 13.5
170 Assura 71.3 +0.2 79.8 59.6 3.7 12.8 2.1
2 AstraZeneca 10442.0-138.0 10930.0 7935.0 2.2 N.A 161.8
78 Auto Trader 586.8+10.0 741.8 536.6 1.4 23.0 5.5
83 Avast 479.3 +1.0 645.4 464.0 2.7 18.0 5.0
59 Aveva 2215.0-58.0 4220.0 1924.0 1.6 N.A 6.7
37 Aviva 428.7 -12.2 458.2 370.9 6.8 51.5 12.0
90 B&M European Value Retail 383.7 -68.4 644.0 383.7 4.3 9.1 3.8
198 Babcock International 350.0 +17.8 380.2 255.9 0.0 N.A 1.8
23 BAE Systems 778.2 +11.4 778.2 522.0 3.2 14.2 24.6
19 Barclays 167.8 -2.6 217.1 140.6 3.6 4.8 28.1
81 Barratt Developments 500.0 -3.6 768.4 459.1 6.6 7.8 5.1
127 Beazley 479.8 -7.4 504.0 304.9 2.9 12.1 2.9
129 Bellway 2315.0-34.0 3656.0 2232.0 5.5 7.0 2.9
86 Berkeley 4238.0 +3.0 4943.0 3670.0 0.2 10.6 4.7
148 Big Yellow 1315.0 -15.0 1724.0 1200.0 3.0 3.4 2.4
8 BP 431.3 +0.7 435.3 278.5 4.0 N.A 83.3
141 Bridgepoint 317.0 -1.2 569.0 255.4 1.1 19.5 2.6
9 British American Tobacco 3536.5 -14.0 3580.5 2512.5 6.1 12.2 80.2
84 British Land Company 521.2 -5.0 556.4 463.1 3.8 5.1 4.8
163 Britvic 806.0 -22.0 1006.0 741.0 3.2 18.6 2.2
28 BT 187.6 +3.3 205.6 135.2 4.1 14.9 18.6
42 Bunzl 2811.0-47.0 3163.0 2258.0 2.0 21.3 9.5
63 Burberry 1701.5+31.0 2264.0 1482.0 2.8 17.4 6.7
174 Caledonia Investments 3800.0 +75.0 4100.0 3085.0 1.7 3.5 2.1
38 Carnival 969.0 -17.41865.4 872.0 0.0 N.A 12.1
89 Centrica 80.5 +3.3 89.6 45.5 0.0 8.0 4.8
179 City of London IT 419.0 -2.5 425.0 377.0 4.6 6.4 1.9
66 Coca Cola HBC 1703.0 -52.5 2784.0 1460.5 3.6 13.4 6.2
17 Compass 1769.0-30.51820.5 1407.5 1.3 43.0 31.5
122 Computacenter 2504.0-54.0 3030.0 2390.0 2.6 15.6 3.1
93 ConvaTec 213.4 -0.6 262.6 166.9 2.2 46.2 4.4
21 CRH 3235.0 -54.0 4002.0 2910.5 3.0 12.5 24.7
43 Croda International 6758.0 -124.0 10410.0 6524.0 1.5 29.5 9.4
146 Darktrace 363.6 +4.9 985.0 319.8 0.0 N.A 2.5
75 DCC 5604.0 -12.0 6486.0 5500.0 3.1 17.7 5.5
101 Dechra Pharmaceuticals 3568.0 -42.0 5405.0 3148.0 1.2 53.3 3.9
114 Derwent London 2932.0-90.0 3802.0 2786.0 2.2 13.1 3.3
7 Diageo 3622.0 -21.54103.5 3343.0 2.0 27.9 82.8
119 Diploma 2572.0 -2.0 3460.0 2400.0 1.8 43.5 3.2
111 Direct Line Insurance 254.8 -5.2 316.4 231.4 8.9 10.6 3.4
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Market cap ranking
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Price/earnings ratios are based on historic data, with yield and p/e values
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U42.15 H:21,670.3
U0.20% L:14,783.9
Games Workshop is an
outlier on British high streets.
Amid the carcasses of failed
retailers, its 400 branches
stand out for being stuffed
with thousands of minuscule
painted warriors; still more
strikingly, they are generally
packed with customers, too.
At its Nottingham factories,
the 47-year-old firm makes
wildly popular fantasy
figurines including cult
tabletop game Warhammer,
selling £353 million worth in
- It has also made its
investors a lot of money: at
£72.25, the shares today are
worth 60 times what they
listed for in 1994, and have
almost tripled since 2018.
Yet they have almost
halved since last September —
and that retreat makes the
stock worthy of a fresh look.
The sell-off seems to be
mostly tangential to Games
Workshop’s own health. It is
FTSE 100
8,000
6,500
7,000
7, 5 0 0
2021 2022
Source: Reinitiv/Eikon
THE WEEK IN THE MARKETS
down to “short-term issues”
such as rising freight costs
and the war in Ukraine,
according to Alex Chatterton
at investment bank Panmure
Gordon. He sees “a good
opportunity to buy”.
The firm insists on
handpainting every figurine
in Nottingham before
shipping them to hubs in the
US and Australia for sale
there and in Asia. That did
mean freight costs climbed by
about £10 million last year.
Then there’s the cost-of-
living crisis; no one needs to
spend £28 on an Ash Waste
Nomad War Party figurine if
the weekly food shop is
becoming unaffordable.
This concern about
consumer spending has
helped Games Workshop’s
price-to-earnings ratio drop
from a very substantial 30 to
a more appealing 18. And its
fans are diehards; Superman
actor Henry Cavill once
described Warhammer
models as “plastic crack”,
which helps explain how the
firm managed to up its gross
margin from an already
impressive 67 per cent to
almost 73 per cent last year.
It is a very sensibly run
business, with chief executive
Kevin Rountree emphatic
about staying true to its main,
miniatures-making activities.
Yet some of its other
activities are noteworthy, too.
Revenues in the video games
industry are set to hit a record
$81 billion (£64 billion) this
year and Games Workshop
had nine new games out last
year and is working on 15
more, including Warhammer
40,000: Darktide.
The company is a generous
dividend payer — 235p this
year — and “as it only returns
‘truly surplus cash’ to
shareholders... dividends
are a true reflection of
cashflow,” said Charles Hall at
Peel Hunt, flagging its “global
growth opportunity, valuable
intellectual property and
exceptional return on
capital”.
The buoyant prospects at
Games Workshop are no
fantasy: buy.
Miniature
warriors
resist retail
apocalypse
Games Workshop
£140
60
80
100
120
2020 2021 2022
Source: Reinitiv/Eikon
variation 12 months
high low
UK 1.55 V0.37 2.15 0.51
US 1.93 V0.82 3.14 1.17
JAPAN -0.01 V0.17 0.25 0.00
GERMANY 0.29 V0.67 1.27 -0.50
10-YEAR BOND YIELDS %
DOLLAR
USD > GBP
$1.25
V0.01
12-month high: $1.42
low: $1.22
EURO
EUR > GBP
€1.17
V0.01
12-month high: €1.21
low: €1.16
YEN
YEN > USD
¥130.86
U3.75
12-month high: ¥130.86
low: ¥109.04
OIL
DOLLARS/BARREL
$121.00
U1.57
12-month high: $127.98
low: $65.18
GOLD
DOLLARS/TROY OZ
$1,850.77
V1.96
12-month high: $2,052.41
low: $1,726.11
BITCOIN
DOLLARS
$29,725.93
U 988.50
12-month high: $68,789.62
low: $26,350.49
Price at 10pm Friday
FTSE 100
7,532.95
V52.51 H: 7,672.4
V0.69% L: 6,844.4
FTSE 250
20,272.90
V99.62 H: 24,250.8
V0.49% L: 19,169.8
RISERS
Dr Martens: 258.8p, U 23.7% on sales
forecasts Countryside Partnerships:
282.8p, U 18.5% on £1.5bn takeover
approach Unilever: £37.05, U 6.6% on
activist taking stake RHI Magnesita:
£25.66, U 6.6% on rebounds from lows
FALLERS
B&M: 383.7p, V 15.1% on warning over
profits Wood Group: 223.4p, V 10.7%
on sale of consulting business Trustpilot:
92.5p, V 10.2% on deadline extention
Auction Technology: 970p, V 8.7% on
gains return Source: AJ Bell/Sharepad
LUCY TOBIN THE ECONOMY
Consumer prices index current rate prev. month
9% 7%
CPI including housing current rate prev. month
7.8% 6.2%
Retail prices index current rate prev. month
11.1% 9.0%
Average weekly earnings on prev. monthon last year
£615 U 2.3%U9.9%
Unemployment current rate prev. month
1.26m 3.7% 3.8%
Manufacturing output on the year on last month
U1.9% V 0.3%
Retail sales on the year on last month
V^ 4.9%U 1.4%
UK trade
balance (£bn)
latest 3 mths prev. 3 mths latest 12 mths
-32.53 -6.15 -56.35
Gross domestic
product
latest quarter prev. quarterannual change
U0.8% U1.3% U8.7%
Budget deficit
(PSNB) in £bn
last month prev. month year to date
V 18.6 V^ 14.7 V18.6