The Economist - USA (2022-06-11)

(Antfer) #1
TheEconomistJune11th 2022
Graphic detail Chinese social mobility

89


Class revival


“T


helandownershipsystemoffeudal
exploitation  by  the  landlord  class
shall be abolished.” So read China’s agrari­
an  reform  law  of  1950.  Land  was  seized
from the better­off and given to poor farm­
ers,  whose  share  of  farmland  rose  from
14% in 1947 to 47% in 1954. Liu Shaoqi, who
was president during the Mao era, called it
the “most thorough reform in thousands of
years of Chinese history”. 
Hundreds  of  thousands  of  landlords
were murdered. Tens of millions of people
died  in  a  famine  when  farms  were  collec­
tivised.  Yet  the  surviving  descendants  of
the  old  elite  have  prospered.  By  2010  they
were again richer and more educated than
the  Chinese  average,  according  to  data
gathered by an international group of aca­
demics.  Adding  new  evidence  from  cities
to previous work, which looked at rural ar­
eas  alone,  the  authors  now  find  that  the
elite’s grandchildren have even out­earned
Communist Party members.
To measure the initial impact of China’s
reforms  on  inequality,  the  authors  com­
piled data on land ownership in 1950 from
archived records. Unsurprisingly, inequal­
ity of land holdings, measured by a Gini co­
efficient,  fell  sharply  after  land  reform,
from 0.5 to 0.1—close to perfect equality. 
To  measure  what  has  happened  since
then,  the  authors  used  a  survey  of  36,000
Chinese  residents  from  2010.  It  recorded
earnings  and  education,  as  well  as  social
class. The party created hereditary class la­
bels in 1950, in part to punish the old guard.
These  allowed  the  researchers  to  distin­
guish between old elites and everyone else. 
The  authors  found  that  elites  born  be­
fore  1940  were  7%  likelier  than  their  con­
temporaries  to  have  finished  secondary
school.  Their  stigmatised  children were
3% less likely to have done so than others
their age. By 2010the children of old elites
earned 5% less than other Chinese. 
But things flipped back. Descendants of
the  old  elite  born  between  1966  and  1990
were 6% more likely to finish high school
than  their  contemporaries.  In  2010  they
earned 12% more than other Chinese. They
even earned 2% more than party members.
The  researchers  found  that  the  old
elite’s grandchildren are more enterprising
and  work  longer  hours  than  the  descen­
dants of those who had lower social stand­
ing.  Althoughtheelite’s  capital  was  de­
stroyed  70yearsago,  their  social  capital
has endured.n

The grandchildren of the pre-
revolutionary elite are doing well

Great
Famine

Cultural
Revolution

Reformand
Openingera

Chinajoins
theWTO

Generationborn1940-65
finishessecondaryschool

-10

0

10

20

30

1945 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 2000 05 10

LandReform

95%confidence
interval

LandwasveryheavilyredistributedinShangluo;
40%ofpeasantfarmersowned80%ofland

 Ginicoefficient 1

Veryequal Veryunequal No data

Elitefamilies

Gapof19.7% 11.7%

Non-elitefamilies

Grandparents
Born1919-39

Theirchildren
1940-65

→ → Their grandchildren
1966-90

-5.%

→ Land redistribution in 195s China dramatically reduced inequality

→AftertheMaoeraended,thepre-revolutionaryelites’
grandchildrenregainedtheirsocialadvantage

*639 counties. Missing values are imputed with province-level average, unless province data are missing
Source: “Persistence despite revolutions”, by A. Alesina, M. Seror, D. Yang, Y. You & W. Zeng, working paper, 0

Differenceinprobabilityofcompletingsecondaryschoolbetween
pre-revolutionaryeliteandnon-elites,percentagepoints

Differenceinpersonalincome, 010

Before land reform After land reform

Inequality of Chinese land
ownership within counties*
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