The Wall Street Journal - 11.09.2019

(Steven Felgate) #1

A6| Wednesday, September 11, 2019 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.**


turn.
But Mr. Trump has opted for
dialogue over conflict. For in-
stance, he shelved plans, sup-
ported by Mr. Bolton, for a re-
taliatory strike after Iran shot
down a U.S. drone in June.
Asked about his differences
with his then-national security
adviser on Iran, Mr. Trump told
reporters: “I temper John—
which is pretty amazing.”
Iran’s government spokes-
man, Ali Rabiei, applauded Mr.
Bolton’s departure in a post on
Twitter. “Months ago, #John-
Bolton had promised that #Iran
would not be there in 3
months; we are still standing &
he is gone. With the ousting of

its biggest proponent of war &
economic terrorism, the White
House will have fewer obstacles
to understanding the realities
of Iran.”
Mr. Pompeo said Tuesday
that Mr. Trump would meet
with the Iranian president.
“The president has made very
clear he is prepared to meet
with no preconditions,” he said.
Mr. Trump has engaged in
trade battles around the world,
but opted to maintain a mea-
sured response on protests in
Hong Kong so not to disrupt
his trade talks with China, even
as Republican lawmakers of-
fered public support for the
demonstrators.

Despite pressure from Mr.
Bolton and others, including
many Republicans in Congress,
Mr. Trump continues to tread
softly on the question of sanc-
tions against Turkey after An-
kara’s recent decision to buy a
Russian air-defense system, a
move that prompted Washing-
ton to withhold sales of Lock-
heed Martin Corp.’s advanced
F-35 stealth jet fighters to the
country.
Mr. Bolton’s outspoken advo-
cacy for tougher action against
Venezuela and Cuba was a
source of great tension within
the administration. Mr. Trump
has become increasingly frus-
trated that his gamble on re-

Disagreement over Afghan peace talks led President Trump to oust John Bolton as national security adviser, ending a rocky relationship.

ALEX WONG/GETTY IMAGES

CAPITAL JOURNAL
By Gerald F. Seib

gime change in Caracas
through economic pressure
isn’t paying off.
Mr. Trump has drawn criti-
cism for rushing into interna-
tional negotiations without
careful preparation. While Mr.
Bolton’s departure opens the
door to talks with Iran, it could
worry key U.S. allies in the
Middle East, including Persian
Gulf nations and Israel, who be-
lieved that the Obama-era of
greater accommodation with
Iran was over, said Danielle
Pletka, of the American Enter-
prise Institute.
“The bottom line is it means
uncertainty,” Ms. Pletka said of
Mr. Bolton’s exit. “Uncertainty
in foreign policy, just like in
economics, is not a good thing.”
With the departure of Mr.
Bolton, the Trump administra-
tion also is losing one of its
more experienced policy mak-
ers. Mr. Bolton’s deputy will fill
the job until Mr. Trump ap-
points a new full-time adviser.
The vacancy at the National
Security Council, which Mr.
Bolton headed, occurs as Mr.
Trump is trying to find some-
one to lead the Office of the Di-
rector of National Intelligence,
which has been vacant since
Dan Coats resigned in July.
Similarly, the Department of
Homeland Security has had an
acting director since the resig-
nation of Kirstjen Nielsen in
April.
At the Defense Department,
Secretary Mark Esper started
work in his post after his Sen-
ate confirmation in July,

months after the resignation of
former Secretary Jim Mattis
over differences with Mr.
Trump.
Mr. Pompeo, a key Trump
ally, has been in place since
2018, and before that was direc-
tor of the Central Intelligence
Agency. However, he has been
mentioned as a possible candi-
date for the Senate from Kan-
sas, and key lawmakers were
unable to predict whether Mr.
Bolton’s departure would have
an effect on his calculations.
“I would guess on the
Pompeo side of the equation is
that his role in the administra-
tion, or his influence, becomes
more important,” said Sen.
Jerry Moran (R., Kan.). “If
you’re looking for stability you
wouldn’t want, in this case, an-
other cabinet member to de-
part.”
Messrs. Bolton and Pompeo
were expected to repair a long
-dormant interagency process
of decision-making and policy
formulation within the execu-
tive branch that was plagued
by a lack of coordination. But
the process has continued to
lead to diverging public state-
ments between the White
House and agencies, such as
when Mr. Trump said talks with
the Taliban were dead after Mr.
Pompeo said he hoped they re-
sume.
Mr. Bolton opposed the ad-
ministration’s opening to the
Taliban.
—Alex Leary
and Courtney McBride
contributed to this article.

The formalities and disci-
pline of diplomacy were a
tough fit for Mr. Trump from
the start. He ran for office as a
Republican but has few appar-
ent ties to the party’s tradition-
ally conservative philosophy on
foreign-policy matters. He often
cites his flexibility as a way to
reassure people that some of
his more unconventional and
controversial proposals are
subject to change.
Mr. Trump has said he shuns
the need for consensus, hailing
opposing views among his top
advisers as an asset. As one of
the last independent foreign
policy voices in the administra-
tion, Mr. Bolton conveyed an
unapologetic, ultra-hawkish but
experienced view that fre-
quently contradicted Mr.
Trump’s boisterous but anti-
militaristic approach to foreign
policy matters.
Mr. Bolton joined the admin-
istration in April 2018, a point
at which some of the adminis-
tration’s more moderate figures
were already gone. With Mr.
Bolton and Secretary of State
Mike Pompeo, a fellow hawk,
Mr. Trump’s foreign policy was
expected to take a dramatic


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Path


For Talks


Is Cleared


official said. “But when the
president makes his decision, he
expects us to go out and do our
jobs. Bolton didn’t do that.”
Mr. Bolton’s departure leaves
a hole in the administration’s
national security lineup as the
U.S. faces a host of challenges
from containing Iran to ending
the war in Afghanistan.
Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo, who also clashed with
Mr. Bolton but is now the most
experienced foreign-policy voice
in the administration, has been
considering a bid for a U.S. Sen-
ate seat in Kansas. The post of
director of national intelligence

is vacant.
Mr. Bolton’s resignation
caught many top White House
aides off guard on Tuesday, but
it shocked almost no one. Long
known for his pugilistic style,
Mr. Bolton added to his reputa-
tion in 18 months in the Trump
White House by battling with
the multiple chiefs of staff, the
secretary of state and first lady
Melania Trump.
Mr. Pompeo smiled widely in
the White House briefing room
on Tuesday. “There were many
times that Ambassador Bolton
and I disagreed, that is to be
sure,” Mr. Pompeo said.

Tensions between Mr. Bolton
and Mr. Pompeo had grown
worse in recent weeks, accord-
ing to the person familiar with
the matter. Meanwhile, Rob
Blair, a senior White House offi-
cial who has been a national se-
curity adviser for acting chief of
staff Mick Mulvaney, has had a
more prominent role.
Mr. Trump privately dis-
cussed as possible successors
Brian Hook, the envoy to Iran;
retired Lt. Gen. Keith Kellogg, a
national security adviser to Vice
President Mike Pence; and Rick
Waddell, a former deputy na-
tional security adviser, said a

person familiar with the conver-
sation. Others discussed by
those close to Mr. Trump in-
cluded Mr. Blair.
A predawn riser and a speed
reader, known to consume hun-
dreds of pages of intelligence
reports on a daily basis, Mr.
Bolton was often well-equipped
to debate colleagues on sensi-
tive policy matters that at times
turned into shouting matches,
according to senior administra-
tion officials.
Mr. Bolton, for instance, en-
gaged in a heated argument
with Mr. Mulvaney during Mr.
Trump’s trip to London earlier

this year over Iranian policy,
these people said. Mr. Mulvaney
accused Mr. Bolton of trying to
start a war and veering from
Mr. Trump’s preferred path, the
people said.
Mr. Bolton also expressed lit-
tle desire to help the president
strike deals with many of the
U.S.’s enemies. He has long op-
posed personal diplomacy with
North Korea, an approach that
has yet to result in tangible re-
sults toward the Trump admin-
istration’s stated goal of nuclear
disarmament.
Mr. Bolton, 70 years old, took
over as national security ad-
viser on April 9, 2018.
He scored key policy victo-
ries during his tenure, such as
overseeing Mr. Trump’s with-
drawal from the 2015 interna-
tional nuclear deal with Iran. He
also pushed through a decision
to withdraw the U.S. from the
U.N. Human Rights Council.
In Congress, Mr. Bolton’s
ouster spurred strong reactions.
“I’m very, very unhappy to hear
that he’s leaving,” said Sen. Mitt
Romney (R., Utah). “His experi-
ence in foreign policy, his point
of view, wasn’t the same as ev-
eryone else in the room. That’s
why you wanted him there.”
Sen. Rand Paul (R., Ky.), who
has a long history of opposing
U.S. military intervention over-
seas, said: “The chances for war
world-wide go down exponen-
tially with him out of the White
House.”
Democrats said the depar-
ture showed the problems with
Mr. Trump’s management style.
“Today’s action by the president
is just the latest example of his
government-by-chaos approach
and his rudderless national se-
curity policy,” said Sen. Chuck
Schumer of New York, the
chamber’s Democratic leader.
—Lindsay Wise,
Natalie Andrews
and Siobhan Hughes
contributed to this article.

had enough.
“I informed John Bolton last
night that his services are no
longer needed at the White
House,” Mr. Trump wrote on
Twitter Tuesday morning. “I
disagreed strongly with many of
his suggestions, as did others in
the Administration, and there-
fore I asked John for his resig-
nation, which was given to me
this morning.”
In his own Twitter message,
Mr. Bolton offered a different
account of his departure, writ-
ing: “I offered to resign last
night and President Trump said,
‘Let’s talk about it tomorrow.’ ”
Mr. Bolton’s offer to resign
came during a dispute with the
Republican president about Af-
ghanistan on Monday, accord-
ing to a person familiar with
the matter. Early Tuesday, Mr.
Bolton sent a letter of resigna-
tion to the White House, this
person said.
Mr. Trump wrote on Twitter
he would name a new national
security adviser next week.
Charles Kupperman, the deputy
national security adviser, has
been named Mr. Bolton’s tempo-
rary successor, a White House
spokeswoman said.
Mr. Bolton’s departure
showed the limits of Mr.
Trump’s appetite for confronta-
tion within the West Wing,
where he highly values loyalty
among his aides and has little
time for intransigence once he
has identified a path forward.
“The president wants people
who give him different view-
points,” a senior White House


ContinuedfromPageOne


Disputes


Lead to


Dismissal


U.S. NEWS


Bolton’s Exit Shows GOP Foreign-Policy Shift


parture roils the Trump na-
tional security team again.
More important, though,
the Bolton exit represents
something far broader: It un-
derscores a significant turn
in Republican national secu-
rity philosophy, as least as
Mr. Trump envisions it.

M


r. Bolton is a long-
standing figure in a
hawkish wing of the
Republican Party that was
prominent, and sometimes
dominant, in the party’s na-
tional security thinking from
Ronald Reagan’s presidency
until Mr. Trump arrived on
the scene.
Today, such thinkers, in-
cluding Mr. Bolton, are skep-
tical of Russian intentions,
doubtful that North Korea
will shed its nuclear weap-
ons, and undaunted by the
idea of a military confronta-
tion with Iran. They are
champions of staying the
course in Iraq and Afghani-
stan, sites of long-term troop
deployments started under a
previous Republican presi-

dent, George W. Bush.
Mr. Trump doesn’t really
share those views. He has
long been scornful of the
war in Iraq and eager to get
American troops out. The
president is so anxious to
improve relations with Rus-
sia that he proposed, just
two weeks ago, allowing
Moscow back into the club of
top industrialized nations.
He seems convinced that his
friendship with North Ko-
rean dictator Kim Jong Un is
built on an understanding
that Pyongyang is willing to
scrap its nuclear program.
The president was on the
verge of striking at Iranian
targets this summer, a plan
that Mr. Bolton and others in
the administration advo-
cated, before pulling back.
And most recently, Mr.
Trump has pursued a deal
with the Taliban that would
allow for a withdrawal of
American troops from Af-
ghanistan, bringing him into
conflict with Mr. Bolton, who
favored neither the deal nor
a complete withdrawal.

These aren’t just disagree-
ments on a few, random is-
sues but rather represent a
significant philosophical de-
bate within the president’s
party. Whether Mr. Trump
has settled that debate for
the long run, or merely tilted
the balance to his side tem-
porarily, is an open question.

T


here always have been
differences of views
among Republicans on
such issues, of course, but
rarely in recent decades have
they been so stark. When
Mr. Reagan was running for
president in 1980, he pulled
into the party a group of
leading neoconservative for-
eign-policy thinkers, such as
former United Nations Am-
bassador Jeane Kirkpatrick,
who previously identified as
hawkish Democrats. They fa-
vored a confrontational
stance toward the Soviet
Union and an activist global
role in defending American
interests and values.
Those figures fell away
from the Democrats because

of what they saw as Presi-
dent Jimmy Carter’s insuffi-
ciently hard-line policies to-
ward Moscow. They fit nicely
into the GOP because of its
staunchly anti-Communist
views.
Mr. Bolton, who served in
the Reagan administration,
has in the past rejected the
neoconservative label. Still,
he is a kind of philosophical
descendant of that school.
While the Cold War was un-
der way and Republicans
could unite in opposition to
the obvious Soviet enemy,
differences in emphasis were
easier to paper over.
Today, the Soviet Union is
gone, and the glue that held
conservative foreign-policy
thinkers together has gone
with it. When Mr. Trump ran
for president in 2016, he
gave loud voice to what had
previously been a distinctly
minority view in the party:
that the U.S. had been too
eager to serve as a police-
man and hired army around
the world. Others in the
party, notably Sen. Rand

Paul of Kentucky, had been
saying similar things, but
not with the same volume
and impact Mr. Trump
brought to the task.
Mr. Bolton was well aware
of a philosophical gap with
Mr. Trump before taking the
job as national security ad-
viser. Indeed, shortly before
taking the post, he wrote an
opinion piece for this news-
paper laying out the case for
a pre-emptive strike against
North Korea. Soon thereaf-
ter, Mr. Trump was meeting
with North Korea’s Mr. Kim
and expressing confidence
that he would eliminate his
nuclear program.
As a result, the Trump-
Bolton alignment was never
entirely comfortable, and in
some ways it’s surprising it
lasted almost a year and a
half. Mr. Bolton handled the
contradictions by telling all
who would listen that he un-
derstood he was the national
security adviser, not the na-
tional security decider—a
balancing act that worked
until this week.

Longtime Republican
thinking on national security,
which embraces American
intervention abroad and is
comfortable with military ac-
tion, just col-
lided with
Trumpian
thinking,
which is dubi-
ous of inter-
vention and
skeptical of foreign wars.
Not surprisingly, Trum-
pian thinking has prevailed.
In a nutshell, that is the
story of the abrupt depar-
ture of John Bolton as Presi-
dent Trump’s national secu-
rity adviser Tuesday.
Obviously, Mr. Bolton’s de-


Administration’s
Rotating Cast

About two-thirds of Presi-
dent Trump’s original top aides
have left their posts or been
removed since he took office,
according to White House per-
sonnel data. The departing and
current aides include:

CHIEFS OF STAFF
uReince Priebus
uJohn Kelly
uCurrent: Mick Mulvaney
(acting)

COMMUNICATIONS
DIRECTORS
uSean Spicer
uMichael Dubke

uAnthony Scaramucci
uHope Hicks
uBill Shine
uCurrent: Stephanie Grisham

NATIONAL SECURITY
ADVISERS
uMichael Flynn
uH.R. McMaster
uJohn Bolton
uCurrent: Charles Kupperman
(acting)

LEGISLATIVE AFFAIRS
DIRECTORS
uMarc Short
uShahira Knight
uCurrent: Eric Ueland

PRESS SECRETARIES
uSean Spicer
uSarah Sanders
uCurrent: Stephanie Grisham

SECRETARIES OF DEFENSE
uJim Mattis
uCurrent: Mark Esper

SECRETARIES OF
HOMELAND SECURITY
uJohn Kelly
uKirstjen Nielsen
uCurrent: Kevin McAleenan
(acting)

SECRETARIES OF STATE
uRex Tillerson
uCurrent: Mike Pompeo

ATTORNEYS GENERAL
uJeff Sessions
uCurrent: William Barr

DIRECTORS OF CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
uMike Pompeo
uCurrent: Gina Haspel
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