64 International Relations Theory of War
Table 2.5
The International Relations Theory of War
A. Basic assumptions of the theory:
- The theory’s attitude to the international system:
The international system is very important - The theory’s attitude to the players:
The most important players acting in the system are the polar
powers
B. The transhistorical order principles:
A. The anarchy principle, in the sense of the absence of a common
regime, leads the system to spur the players, primarily the polar
powers constituting it, to tend always to expansion or formation
of a hegemony for them to head
B. The homeostasis principle, in the sense of a property of the system
that resists change, leads the system to dictate to players, primarily
to the polar powers constituting it, to tend always to stagnation
and preserve the system in its existing state
C. The causal logic of the theory:
The independent variable, the polarity of the system à international
outcomes—systemic and intrasystemic
Multipolar Systems Bipolar Systems Unipolar Systems
Sole Hyperpower:
- 1992–2016—24
years
Two Superpowers:
- 1816–1848—33
years - 1871–1909—39
years - 1946–1991—46
years
Three or more Great
Powers:
- 1849–1870—22
years - 1910–1945—36
years
The
independent
variable, or
polarity of
the system
Medium stability.
Lies between the
other two systems
The system will allow
the sole hyperpower
constituting it to
wage war against
countries that
will challenge its
absolute supremacy
in the system
High stability.
Few wars
The system
will reduce the
number of wars
involving the
two superpowers
constituting it
Low stability.
Many wars
The system will
increase the number
of wars involving
the great powers
constituting it
The
systemic
dependent
variable, or
stability of
the system
(continued)