Int Rel Theo War

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64 International Relations Theory of War


Table 2.5


The International Relations Theory of War


A. Basic assumptions of the theory:


  1. The theory’s attitude to the international system:
    The international system is very important

  2. The theory’s attitude to the players:
    The most important players acting in the system are the polar
    powers
    B. The transhistorical order principles:
    A. The anarchy principle, in the sense of the absence of a common
    regime, leads the system to spur the players, primarily the polar
    powers constituting it, to tend always to expansion or formation
    of a hegemony for them to head
    B. The homeostasis principle, in the sense of a property of the system
    that resists change, leads the system to dictate to players, primarily
    to the polar powers constituting it, to tend always to stagnation
    and preserve the system in its existing state
    C. The causal logic of the theory:
    The independent variable, the polarity of the system à international
    outcomes—systemic and intrasystemic


Multipolar Systems Bipolar Systems Unipolar Systems

Sole Hyperpower:


  • 1992–2016—24
    years


Two Superpowers:


  • 1816–1848—33
    years

  • 1871–1909—39
    years

  • 1946–1991—46
    years


Three or more Great
Powers:


  • 1849–1870—22
    years

  • 1910–1945—36
    years


The
independent
variable, or
polarity of
the system


Medium stability.
Lies between the
other two systems
The system will allow
the sole hyperpower
constituting it to
wage war against
countries that
will challenge its
absolute supremacy
in the system

High stability.
Few wars

The system
will reduce the
number of wars
involving the
two superpowers
constituting it

Low stability.
Many wars

The system will
increase the number
of wars involving
the great powers
constituting it

The
systemic
dependent
variable, or
stability of
the system


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