Financial Times 19Feb2020

(Dana P.) #1

8 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Wednesday19 February 2020


One does not wear


a Patek Philippe watch


just to tell the time


As a non-tech flavoured individual I


enjoy reading John Thornhill’s


columns, which help keepme


abreast of my times, however strange


they may be. In “Smartwatches call


time on the Swiss industry” (February



  1. he rightly says that for £5 we can


buy aCasiodigital watch that will tell


the time more reliably than a


mechanicalPatek PhilippeGrand


Complications costing 40,000 times as


much.


He may be right, but one does not


wear Patek Philippe watches just to get


the time, precisely reliable or not. One


wears a Patek Philippe, like my classic


blue one, for its craftsmanship and


beauty.


Serge Desprat


Prague, Czech Republic


Brain drain from eastern


Europe has high price tag


Clotilde Armand, the French-


Romanian MEP, is definitely on to


something (“Eastern Europe gives


more to the west than it gets back”,


February 14). The Germans, French


and others bought up strategic assets


(banks, utilities, mining assets,


forestry) and outsourced lower added


value economic activities to the east


(car manufacturing, chemicals). One


after another they opened their labour


markets when the ageing of their


societies began to be a strain on their


economies.


Freedom of movement is both an


opportunity and a problem. The


outflow of migrants damped the


sustainable development of eastern


Europe and also increased xenophobic


attitudes in western Europe. As a quid


pro quo for the brain drain, eastern


Europe should probably start taxing


western European multinationals


adequately and start reclaiming


strategic assets.


The brain drain has a price tag.


Based on the productivity of each


inhabitant in relation to the size of the


immigrant population, the brain drain


added €170bn of value to the economy


of Germany in 2018 alone. This is the


value created by 4.2m immigrants


from other EU countries in the biggest


EU economy. The UK gained €141bn,


France €54bn, The Netherlands


€24bn, Sweden €15bn and Denmark


€11bn. Those numbers outweigh the


contributions that those countries pay


to the EU budget.


During the financial crisis, German


chancellor Angela Merkel invoked the


mythical “Swabian housewife”, the


tight-fisted south-western German


matriarch of lore, to scold other


countries. Now, this is where the


household metaphor is relevant.


Members of a family help each other.


Families function as a kind of mutual


insurance society that helps each other


in times of need. If you take our people


to improve your demographics, then


maybe eastern Europe deserves


support from cohesion policy.


Piotr Arak


Director,


Polish Economic Institute,


Warsaw, Poland


Carbon taxes need to


be wider and deeper


Julian Allwood (“The only way for


aviation to hit zero emissions is to stop


flying”, February 7) makes many good


points. But mankind will always want


to fly long distances. His proposal to


“tax aircraft fuel at the level of the UK’s


current road fuel tax” would have


positive impacts. Even more so if it did


not apply to emissions-free fuels. There


are developing technologies to produce


emissions-free methanol and jet fuel


that would allow responsible flying. An


emissions-related tax would encourage


their development.


More generally, taxing carbon


emissions has four benefits: it assists


our necessary behaviour change; it


eases the conflict between directors’


fiduciary responsibility to make a


profit and their environmental


responsibility not to pollute; it reduces


the drain on the exchequer from grants


to decarbonising projects; and it


enables the commercial funding of


those projects because the savings


make them profitable.


We need wider and deeper


application of carbon taxes, including


on jet fuel, to help make our fight


against climate change more


commercially attractive.


Brian N C Sweeney


London SE26, UK


Where was that prejudice


when Thiam was hired?


Tidjane Thiam,Credit Suisse’s ousted


chief executive, hints at having faced


prejudice during his tenure (report,


February 14). However, that is hard to


reconcile with his history at the bank.


Where was that prejudice lurking


when he was hired, or during his five-


year run as CEO? At various times


during his term he publicly


acknowledged the free rein he was


allowed to radically change the


direction of Credit Suisse.


It is sad when a storied and talented


manager resorts to innuendo and


dissembling when held accountable for


a tawdry episode. After all, does not


the buck stop with the CEO?


Vijay Dandapani


New York, NY, US


N Ireland has to accept


supreme authority of ECJ


I commend the Financial Times on the


accuracy of the headline “Britain will


never allow oversight of laws, Brexit


chief tells Brussels” (front page, UK


edition, February 18). Had your


headline cited the UK, instead of


Britain, it would have been wrong.


TheNorthern Irish Protocol, entered


into as part of the Withdrawal


Agreement, already grants the


European Court of Justice supreme


authority over the Protocol and the


relationship of Northern Ireland with


the EU. Indeed, the Protocol obliges


Northern Ireland to dynamically align


itself with new EU laws to the extent


that these fall within the scope of the


Protocol.


It would appear that what is


unacceptable for Great Britain is


acceptable for Northern Ireland.


Ben Habib


Chief Executive,


First Property Group,


London SW1, UK


Former MEP for London


Ofac’s case is based on


unfounded allegations


Your story “US cites reports Deripaska


helped Putin launder cash” (February


15), about my ongoing legal action


against the Office of Foreign Assets


Control, leaves a strange and deeply


unpleasant impression. Ofac’s case


against me is based not on material


facts or actual events, but rather on


unfounded allegations and


unsubstantiated years-old media


reports.


Your readers might get a very


different idea. Your headline and story


uncritically rehash the baseless


accusations I am challenging in the


American courts, accusations for which


— as you know full well — not a shred


of evidence has been provided.


It is, for example, unworthy of the


Financial Times to repeat the


demonstrably false speculation


about the purported cancellation of


the initial public offering of Gaz.


Basic fact-checking would have


shown you thatGazheld an IPO


way back in the mid-1990s. The


company became public long before I


decided to invest in the automotive


industry, and several years before


Vladimir Putin was elected president


of Russia.


To me, this bizarre article, which


parrots irresponsible accusations,


seems unprofessional and unethical. It


does nothing other than to create a new


wave of media coverage that Ofac can


now use to further justify its flawed


and disingenuous sanctions policy.


Oleg Deripaska


Moscow, Russia


Last week, France marked a historic


moment: the first time a high-profile


French politician has fallen from


power because of an incident relating


exclusively to his private life and


without any criminal implications.


On Friday, Benjamin Griveaux, one


of President Emmanuel Macron’s


closest allies, who wasrunning for


mayor of Paris, announced he would


beending his candidacyfollowing the


publication of a sex video and some of


his private messages online.


The consensus across French media


was that it would have been difficult


for Mr Griveaux to continue with an


already weak candidacy — he was


trailing in third place, behind the


socialist and rightwing candidates. But


there was also widespread


condemnation of the circumstances


that led to his resignation.


A chorus of criticism, spanning the


ideological spectrum, denounced a


dangerous blurring of the boundary


between private and public life that


the French have always defined, not


just as a point of cultural and national


identity, but as essential to a healthy


democracy. Mr Griveaux’s


withdrawal,said an editorial in Le


Monde, “has shattered the principles


that govern public life”.


The event felt especially counter-


intuitive viewed from London in a


week whenPrime Minister Boris


Johnson, a politician with his own


history of extramarital affairs, was


consolidating power. The UK is not


known for particular tolerance of


infidelity or sexual freedom in its


politicians’ private lives. In France, on


the other hand, there has always been


a tacitomertà. It is only a few years


since the French were treated to


images thatpurported to show


President François Hollandedashing


out of the Elysée Palace on the back of


a scooter to spend the night at a


mysterious apartment. Now, the


debate is about the “Americanisation”


of public life — and the encroachment


of Anglo-Saxon moralising. There is a


hint of French exceptionalism to this.


In Mr Griveaux’s case, an activist


and performance artist claimed to be


responsible for publishing the videos


and texts as an alleged denunciation


of the “hypocrisy” of politicians who


talk about family values. It is in some


ways a classic case of revenge porn,


which might have supported a


different outcome — one in which Mr


Macron’s candidate might have


resisted capitulation, defended his


right to privacy and denounced the


toxicity of social media.


But Mr Griveaux’s withdrawal from


the race has been informed by


something else. France has lately been


experiencinga cascade of revelations


of sexual harassment, gender


discrimination and sexual abuse. The


torrent started in November when the


actress Adèle Haenelalleged she was


sexually assaultedby director


Christophe Ruggia as an adolescent. In


December, the literary establishment


was the target: allegations against the


writer Gabriel Matzneff emerged. This


monthMr Matzneff was charged with


promoting the sexual abuseof


children in his writing and will stand


trial. In January, it was France’s


athletic elite, when the figure-skating


champion SarahAbitbol accused her


former coach of raping her when she


was 15. Then just last week the entire


board of the César awards, the French


Oscars,resigned in responseto


criticism of its opaque decision-


making and the nomination for a


dozen awards of a film directed by


Roman Polanski, who has denied fresh


allegations of rape.


There are no allegations of


harassment or abuse relating to Mr


Griveaux’s relationship, but the point


is that the climate of tolerance in


France is changing. Throughout public


life there has been a flood of the kinds


of revelations and reckonings that had


before been highly unusual,


prompting the view that #MeToo had


to some extent bypassed France.


The French media are right to


object to the nefarious effects of tech-


enabled exposure that ruthlessly


deprives people of their privacy and


undermines the political process.


But the criticism may also come


from something more cultural than


political, and more visceral. As the


#MeToo movement has spread from


Hollywood to the rest of the world, it


has also become a manifestation of the


kind of digitally driven cultural


globalisation that French culture has


resisted, or wanted to resist. For


better or worse, it seems that French


political life is becoming less French.


[email protected]


Resistance to


Anglo-Saxon


moralising fades


in the MeToo era


France


Notebook


by Renée Kaplan


With the future of the EU at grave


risk because of an insufficient budget,


it is ironic that the “frugal four”


countries, Austria, Denmark, the


Netherlands, and Sweden, are


advocating a 1 per cent limit on EU


revenues (“The ‘frugal four’ advocate a


responsible EU budget”, Sebastian


Kurz, February 17). According to the


IMF, Austria collected 48 per cent of


gross domestic product in government


revenues in 2019, Denmark 52 per


cent, the Netherlands 44 per cent, and


Sweden 49 per cent. Yet these four


governments somehow contend that


the EU can get by on a mere 1 per cent


of GDP at the union level. This is


utterly wrong.


The high revenue-to-GDP collections


in the four countries (and others of the


EU) reflect the vital role of government


in the 21st-century economy. Revenues


are needed for social protection, active


labour market policies in economies


facing deep structural change, just


transitions for environmental


sustainability, quality education and


healthcare, research and development


outlays in an era when innovation is


vital for competitiveness, and security.


The leaders of the frugal four indeed


recognise that the EU faces today’s


challenges on “fostering an innovative


and competitive economy, the fight


against climate change, migration, and


security”. Yet they believe that the


correct ratio of revenues passing


through governments at the national


and local rather than EU-wide level


should be more than 40 to 1!


Most of today’s problems cross


national boundaries, just as migrants,


workers, ecosystems, rivers, energy


resources and innovations transcend


national boundaries. Inequalities


across the EU regions put the union


under great and increasing social and


political stress.


One suspects that the four national


leaders advocate the greater than


40-to-1 ratio only because they are


elected nationally, rather than because


the proper allocation of government


functions are really 40-to-1 greater at


the national versus regional level. In


the US, for example, which is


approximately the same size as the EU


economy, the federal government


outspends the combination of states


and local governments roughly 2 to 1.


The stingy budget of 1 per cent of


GDP for the EU would mark an


existential threat to the EU as it


faces a much tougher geopolitical


environment marked by highly erratic


US policies, Russian opportunism and


Chinese technological prowess and


diplomatic reach.


The EU needs to stand on its own


feet geopolitically, socially and


technologically, which is utterly


impossible without an adequate EU-


wide budget.


The world desperately needs a


healthy, prosperous and secure EU.


The EU urgently needs the good sense


to fund itself properly.


Prof Jeffrey D Sachs


Columbia University,


New York, NY, US


The world needs a prosperous and properly funded Europe


Letters


WEDNESDAY19 FEBRUARY 2020


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Corrections:[email protected]
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Corrections


cFormer US Treasury secretary Tim


Geithner co-wrote a letter commenting


on proposed changes in the Financial


Stability Oversight Council’s policy, not


Federal Reserve chairman Jay Powell, as


wrongly stated in the Inside Business


column on February 11.


cNancy Pelosi is speaker of the House of


Representatives, not House majority


leader as wrongly stated in an article on


February 17.


OPINION ON FT.COM


David Gardner
Disaffected voters could boycott this week’s
parliamentary elections in Iran
http://www.ft.com/opinion

The economic policy on which Japan’s


prime ministerShinzo Abewas elected


in 2012 was supposed to involve three


arrows: monetary easing, fiscal stimu-


lus and structural reform to boost


growth and escape deflation. If Mr Abe


hadfollowed that prescription — the


fiscal stimulus in particular — he would


notbe threatened by thesecond tech-


nical recessionof his premiership.


New growth figures released on Mon-


day show that output in Japan con-


tracted at an annualised pace of 6.3 per


cent in the final quarter of 2019. Mr


Abe’s government was quick to blame


typhoons and unseasonably mild


weather, but such explanations are


nonsense: the fall in output was large


and uniform across the country. It was


the direct, predictable consequence of


arise in consumption tax from 8 to 10


per cent at the start of October. Mr Abe


did this to himself.


Abenomics made sense because it


addressed the problems that ailed


Japan in the previous decade. Overly


cautious monetary policy, especially


following the financial crisis in 2008,


meant Japan had high real interest


rates and an expensive currency.


Premature attempts to raise taxes or


cut spending choked off recovery,


while Japan’s potential growth weak-


ened as itspopulation aged. The coun-


try settled into an equilibrium with


underemployment, entrenched expec-


tations ofdeflation and high corporate


savings offset by government deficits.


All the elements of Abenomics


needed to work together to push the


economy to a new balance: monetary


stimulus to weaken the yen, fiscal stim-


ulus to jump-start demand and struc-


tural measures such as trade deals to


creategrowth opportunities and incen-


tives for business investment. It was


never going to be easy but this combi-


nation proved its worth.


The year 2013 brought a sharp


weakening of the yen and a burst of


optimism. Throughout Mr Abe’s term,


the Japanese economy has done better


than in the years that preceded it, with


inflation low but positive and unem-


ployment down to a rock-bottom 2.


per cent.


That makes it all the more unfortu-


nate that Mr Abe has repeatedly sur-


rendered to the deficit hawks in his


government. All the positive momen-


tum of Abenomics came to a halt with a


consumption tax rise in 2014, which


triggered a technical recession, and


now the same thing has happened


again.


Japan has plenty of saving; what it


lacks is consumption. If Mr Abe felt he


had to raise taxes it would have made


more sense to target the former, per-


haps by reducing the depreciation


allowances permitted tocompanies


that are making record profits. Squeez-


ing households with consumption tax,


when those households are already


paying more for ageing-related costs


such as care insurance, invariably


hammers the economy.


Many justify the tax rise because of


Japan’s public debt, which stands at


about 240 per cent of output on a gross


basis, but ultra-low rates mean the


interest bill is negligible. Other critics


blame Mr Abe for inadequate struc-


tural reform. His record in this area is


reasonable, however. He has passed


some significant trade deals, though he


has not made any drastic changes to


the labour market.


With the outbreak of coronavirus,


the economic backdrop for Japan has


darkened. The only sensible action Mr


Abe can take in the short-term — other


than reversing the tax rise, which


would be politically impossible— is


more fiscal stimulus. The problem, as it


has been throughout the past seven


years, is not Abenomics. The problem


is not enough of it.


Raising the consumption tax has undermined fiscal stimulus


Japan’s problem is not


enough Abenomics


Every seven years, European govern-


ments and the EU’s Brussels-based


institutions become embroiled inhot-


tempered hagglesabout the bloc’s


budget. These quarrels are out of pro-


portion to the sums of money involved.


The budget represents about 1 per cent


of the EU’s annual economic output.


Disputes about whether to spend more,


less or the same revolve around frac-


tions of a percentage point.


Yet the passions inflamed in these


debates testify to the neuralgic anxiety


of all EU governments to demonstrate


to voters at home that they have scored


a “victory in Brussels”. It will be no dif-


ferent when national leaders gather at


the EU headquarters on Thursday for a


summit devoted to settling differences


over the 2021-2027 budget.


For three reasons, these negotiations


are proving to be particularly fraught.


The exit of the UK, one of the EU’s main


net contributors, has left the remaining


27 member states with the task offill-


ing an annual budget holeof about


€10bn. At the same time, the spread of


militant nationalism and anti-estab-


lishment populism in both western and


eastern Europe has put mainstream,


pro-EU political leaders and parties on


the defensive.


Finally, internal and external chal-


lenges to Europe are intensifying in


areas such as advanced technology,cli-


matechange, energy, defence, security


and migration. Together, these make a


compelling case for refocusing the EU’s


spending priorities in a way that has


not happened for 30 years.


At present, almost three-quarters of


the EU budget is allocated to agricul-


tural subsidies and regional aid pro-


grammes. Much smaller amounts are


spent on business innovation, scientific


research and the EU’s global role. EU


governments, the commission and the


European Parliament are in broad


agreement that the 2021-2027 budget


should focus more on climate change,


economic modernisation and security,


broadly defined. However, the budget’s


emphasis on farm subsidies and


regional aid would not change much


under any proposals so far put forward.


This structural inertia scarcely


shows the EU off in a good light. After


all, it was less than four years ago that


EU leaders rang the alarm bell by


approving a foreign and security policy


strategy which declared: “We live in


times of existential crisis, within and


beyond the European Union.”


As often with the EU, solemn warn-


ings and grandly announced goals tend


to disguise a prosaic reality. Most coun-


tries — whether large or small, whether


net contributors or net beneficiaries —


display little inclination to pool pow-


ers, commit resources and change pri-


orities on a scale that would put the EU


budget on a fundamentally different,


more ambitious basis.


There is a risk that the Brussels sum-


mit will descend into unseemly mid-


night squabbles about who will pay


more, who will get a rebate and who is


laughing all the way to the bank. Com-


promises will be necessary. As a pro-


portion of overall spending, less ought


to go to farmers and landowners. Less


should go to regional subsidies, which


should be attached to respect for the


rule of law, in west and east. More is


needed for research, innovation, cli-


mate change, defence and security.


But the most important point is that,


precisely because the EU budget is rela-


tively small, it is national governments


that must lead a concerted European


effort to set new priorities. This will


require a more imaginative use of


national fiscal policy, bigger defence


and security budgets and fewer conces-


sions to industrial lobbies on climate


change. National governments have


their hands on the EU’s steering wheel.


They need to show the way.


National governments should lead the way in setting new priorities


The compelling case to


refocus EU spending


FEBRUARY 19 2020 Section:Features Time: 18/2/2020-18:52 User:alistair.hayes Page Name:LEADER USA, Part,Page,Edition:USA, 8 , 1

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