- Kucharski A.J., ‘Modelling the transmission dynamics of online
social contagion’, arXiv, 2016. - Researchers at the University of Warwick found a similar level
of predictability. Based on the dynamics of neknomination, they
correctly forecast the four-week duration of the ice bucket
challenge shortly after it emerged a few months later. Sprague
D.A. and House T., ‘Evidence for complex contagion models of
social contagion from observational data’, PLOS ONE, 2017. - Cheng J. et al., ‘Do Cascades Recur?’, Proceedings of the 25th
International Conference on World Wide Web, 2016. - Crane R. and Sornette D., ‘Robust dynamic classes revealed by
measuring the response function of a social system’, PNAS,
2008. - Tan C. et al., ‘Lost in Propagation? Unfolding News Cycles from
the Source’, Association for the Advancement of Artificial
Intelligence, 2016; Tatar A. et al., ‘A survey on predicting the
popularity of web content’, Journal of Internet Services and
Applications, 2014. - Vosoughi S. et al., ‘The spread of true and false news online’,
Science, 2018. - Examples from: Romero D.M., ‘Differences in the Mechanics of
Information Diffusion Across Topics: Idioms, Political Hashtags,
and Complex Contagion on Twitter’, Proceedings of the 20th
International Conference on World Wide Web, 2011; State B. and
Adamic L.A., ‘The Diffusion of Support in an Online Social
Movement: Evidence from the Adoption of Equal-Sign Profile
Pictures’, Proceedings of the 18th ACM Conference on Computer
Supported Cooperative Work & Social Computing, 2015;
Guilbeault D. et al., ‘Complex Contagions: A Decade in Review’,
in Lehmann S. and Ahn Y. (eds.), Spreading Dynamics in Social
Systems (Springer Nature, 2018). - Weng L. et al., ‘Virality Prediction and Community Structure in
Social Networks’, Scientific Reports, 2013.
greg delong
(Greg DeLong)
#1