Financial Times Europe - 26.03.2020

(Axel Boer) #1

4 ★ FINANCIAL TIMES Thursday 26 March 2020


F T R E P O RT E R S
Li Kun liberated his family from Hubei
province yesterday but it was a close-
runthing.
The marketing manager lives and
works in Hangzhou, a technology hub
near Shanghai, and had returned to his
hometownofHuanggangcityinJanuary
for Chinese new year when coronavirus
struck.MrLi,hiswifeanddaughtersud-
denly found themselves caught in what
wasthenperhapsthebiggestmassquar-
antine in human history, with almost all
ofHubei’s60mresidentsinlockdown.


As the Chinese epidemic became a
global pandemic, entire countries
would follow Hubei’s lead, including
ItalyandIndia.
Mr Li’s nightmare ended on Tuesday,
when the Hubei Health Commission
said it would relax travel restrictions
imposed two months ago for all areas
outside the provincial capital, Wuhan,
whichwillbeliberatedonApril8.
“I decided to go back to Hangzhou the
momentIheardthetrafficbanhadbeen
lifted,” he told the Financial Times. “My
wife works in Hangzhou too and our
employers had been pressing us to
returnassoonaspossible.”
The Li family’s 10-hour drive back to
Hangzhou, the capital of Zhejiang prov-
ince, was t ense. At one checkpoint in
Hubei, Mr Li had to produce proof that
he was employed in Hangzhou and his
employer had reopened for business, as
well as a letter from officials in the city
confirming that he would be allowed
backhome.
When Mr Li entered Zhejiang prov-
ince, his mobile phone started to ring.
Zhejiang’s telecom network had
detected his Hubei-registered mobile
and alerted provincial, municipal and
districtpolice,allofwhomrangtocheck
on his travel plans. “There is no privacy,
butweareusedtothat,”hesaid.
Other Hubei residents are relieved
the travel ban has been lifted, but are
happy to stay put for now. Wang Haoze,

now at home in Xiangyang, Hubei’s
second-largest city, attends university
in Beijing. But h is college is still shut so
he is hanging out at home, taking online
classes and preparing for examinations
forthepostgraduatecoursestowhichhe
isapplying.
“Forus,therelaxationgivesusasense
that we can finally move freely,” said Mr
Wang, who frets that people might let
down their guard and give rise to a “sec-
ondwave”ofinfections.
“I am still worried because, after all,

the risk has not been completely
removed. A few passers-by have
stoppedwearingmasks.”
As in the US, where governors and
mayors have issued stay-at-home
orders—somemorestrictthanothers—
Hubei’s seemingly uniform lockdown
was actually a patchwork that varied by
city. Municipal governments are also
taking different approaches to the
relaxation.
In terms of economic output, Xian-
ning is one of Hubei’s 10 largest cities
andhasrecoveredquicklyfromthepan-
demic. It has been more than a month

since local authorities there reported a
newinfection.Yetthecityof3misrelax-
ing its travel ban cautiously, even
though about 500,000 of its residents
aremigrantworkerseagertoleave.
Anyone wanting to leave the city
has to take a test proving they are
coronavirus-free. The government will
pay half the test cost of Rmb150 ($21),
but Xianning Central Hospital can only
conduct 300 a day. Bookings there and
at other hospitals are now difficult to
get,accordingtohospitalstaff.
“I don’t know how long I need to wait
beforeIcangetatest,”oneXianningres-
ident complained on Weibo, China’s
equivalent of Twitter, adding that he
had all the certificates required to allow
him to return to work in the southern
city of Guangzhou. Other cities across
Hubei have been allowing people to
comeandgofordays,ifnotweeks.
Now safely back in Hangzhou, Mr Li
and his wife are glad to be resuming
their normal lives. Their daughter is
attending her kindergarten again. But
theirneighboursarewary.
“There is still some hostility towards
people from Hubei,” Mr Li said. “My
neighbours keep their distance as they
suspect I might be a virus carrier. I don’t
blamethem.”
Sun Yu and Xinning Liu in Beijing, Xueqiao
Wang in Shanghai, Qianer Liu in Shenzhen,
Robin Yu and Selena Li in Hong Kong and
Tom Mitchell in Singapore

Out of lockdown.Rules relaxed


Chinese at centre of outbreak welcome liberation


JA M E S P O L I T I A N D L AU R E N F E D O R
WASHINGTON


“In effect, this is a wartime level of
investmentintoournation”.Thatishow
Mitch McConnell, the Senate majority
leader and Kentucky Republican law-
maker, described the $2tn stimulus
package agreed early yesterday in the
upperchamberofCongress.
At a time of major partisan divisions
in Washington, US politicians were able
to reach a compromise within just a few
tensedaysonalargeinjectionofgovern-
ment money into the economy, to limit
the damage from the coronavirus out-
break.
Although the text of the legislation
has yet to be released, it was expected to
be approved by the Senate last night,
and then by the House of Representa-
tives, which is controlled by Democrats.
The success of the package will depend
on how quickly it can be implemented,
and there are doubts about whether it
will be sufficient, despite its massive
size.
Some lawmakers and administration
officialshavesuggestedadditionalfund-
ing from Congress may be necessary
depending on the pandemic’s economic
impact.


Income support


White House officials had earlier this
month dismissed the need for direct
transfers of funds to US households, but
quickly pivoted towards “helicopter
money” as it became clear that many
families would need income support as
theeconomygroundtoahalt.
The payments to American families


from the US Treasury will be worth
$1,200 per adult, or $2,400 per couple,
with additional payments for children.
The payments will be phased out start-
ing at annual incomes of $75,000 per
person, or $150,000 per couple, so the
wealthiest families would not see any
benefit.


Business bailouts


The legislation sets aside $500bn for
loans to businesses affected by corona-
virus,including$25bnforpassengerair-
lines, $4bn for cargo airlines and $17bn
for companies that are “critical to main-
tainingnationalsecurity”.
The remaining $454bn would be dis-
bursed through government loans and
loan guarantees, including through
lending facilities set up by the Federal
Reserve.
The$500bnplanwasamongthemost
controversial in the package, with Dem-
ocrats labelling it a corporate bailout
withlimitedaccountability.
In the end, the agreement calls for
additional oversight of the fund by an
inspector-general, along the lines of the
$700bn Wall Street Troubled Asset


Relief Program (Tarp) bailout fund set
up during the 2008 financial crisis.
Democrats also stripped provisions
allowing companies to delay disclosure
oftheirparticipationintheprogramme,
and got assurances that businesses tied
to Donald Trump and his family, as well
as members of Congress and heads of
executive agencies, would not receive
governmenthelp.

Unemployment insurance
With some economists estimating the
unemployment rolls will quickly sky-
rocket to include millions of additional
Americans, Congress and the White
House decided to increase unemploy-
ment benefits by $600 a week for four
months, which will come in addition to
unemployment payments from the
claimant’s state, according to Chuck
Schumer, the top Senate Democrat.
Payments vary by state, averaging
roughly $385 a week. But Republican
senators raised red flags over the meas-
ure yesterday, questioning whether it
would result in workers in many states
earning more through unemployment
insurancethantheydidinwages.
The US jobless benefit scheme itself
was expanded to apply to the self-
employed and workers in temporary
jobs within the “gig economy”. The orig-
inal legislation had applied the increase
for three months, but Democrats were
able to secure one more month in the

US injects $2tn to help people and


business in ‘wartime investment’


Success to depend on speed of implementation while doubts remain over size of stimulus


finalstretchoftalks.

Funding for hospitals
Mr Schumer called this part of the pack-
age a “Marshall plan” for the American
medical system. It includes $150bn in
funding for hospitals, personal and pro-
tective equipment for healthcare work-
ers, testing supplies, increased work-
force and training, and new construc-
tion to house patients, according to Mr
Schumer’sdescriptionoftheplan.
Much of the money will be funnelled
through state and local governments,
which are on the front lines of America’s
battleagainstthecoronavirus.

Small business help
The legislation provides for $367bn in
loans and grants to small businesses,
with fewer than 500 employees, which
are bearing the brunt of the impact as
Americans practise social distancing
measures and many local authorities
force non-essential businesses to close
temporarily.
Marco Rubio, the Florida Republican
and chairman of the Senate small busi-
ness committee, said on Fox Business
that small businesses would be able to
secure loans worth 250 per cent of their
monthlypayrollfromapprovedlenders.
“This is money that needs to get into
these hands very quickly, before these
doors continue to close and people keep
gettinglaidoffeveryday,”hesaid.

US secretary of state Mike Pompeo said
G7 countries were all “deeply aware” of
what he described as a coronavirus
disinformation campaign run by the
Chinese Communist party.
America’s top diplomat accused
Beijing of seeking to deflect attention
from its role in covering up the origins
of the virus, which he said was
decimating the world’s economies.
“China is now making small sales of
product around the world and claiming
they are now the white hat in what has
taken place,” Mr Pompeo said after
hosting a virtual meeting of G7 foreign
ministers, referring to Chinese exports
of masks and other medical supplies to
European and Asian nations struggling
to combat the spread of coronavirus.
Mr Pompeo said senior members of
the CCP had spread “crazy talk” that the
US had deliberately brought the disease
to China and said Beijing repeatedly
delayed sharing information in the early
stages of its spread. “Every member of
the G7 today saw that this is a
disinformation campaign,” he said,
adding the disease demonstrated that
the CCP posed “a substantial threat to
our health and way of life”.
The US and China have co-ordinated
responses to past disease outbreaks but
are at odds over Covid-19, which Mr
Pompeo refers to as “Wuhan virus”.
Katrina Manson in Washington

Pompeo
rebukes
China for
‘crazy talk’

$500bn business plan


among the most


controversial


in the package


The ‘Marshall
plan’ for the US
medical system
includes $150bn
for hospitals,
personal and
protective
equipment for
healthcare
workers and
testing supplies
Carlo Allegri/Reuters

Degree of normality returns to


Hubei as travel restrictions are


gradually eased by authorities


D O N W E I N L A N D— BEIJING
TO M M I TC H E L L— SINGAPORE

China’s central bank is in discussions
to cut the interest rate banks pay on
deposits for the first time since 2015, in
a bid to help banks eke out higher prof-
its as they are enlisted to help spur an
economic recovery following the coro-
navirusoutbreak.

The economy has been brought to a
standstill since the p andemic started in
January.ButthePeople’sBankofChina’s
responsetothecrisishasbeenrelatively
muted compared with the US and
Europe, where billions of dollars are
being deployed by central banks to fight
aglobalrecession.
Chinese banks have been recruited,
however, to help boost the economy.
They have been told to extend loans to
struggling companies, to lend at lower
rates and increase their tolerance for
baddebtcreatedduringthecrisis.
While such measures could help com-
panies survive over the next few
months, they are also expected to hurt
bankprofitabilityin2020.
Adepositratecutcouldbeannounced
in the coming days, according to two
people familiar with the discussions at
the PBoC. Lowering the deposit rate
would provide more breathing space by
wideningthespreadbetweenhowmuch

banks pay out to depositors and how
muchtheychargeforloans.
The PBoC has been pushing
throughinterestratereformsforseveral
years in which it has sought to move
awayfromsettingtheratesforloansand
deposits. But banks still use deposit
rates set by the central bank to deter-
minehowmuchtheypaydepositors.
The PBoC last cut the demand deposit
rate, or the rate it pays on ordinary
deposits, in 2012. Term deposit rates for
deposits held for a set amount of time
werelastcutin2015.
A cut in the benchmark savings rate
would be primarily aimed at shoring up
the banking sector rather than spurring
consumption, according to people
familiarwiththePBoC’sdeliberations.
“The main reason is to encourage
banks to lend without squeezing their
margins,” one of the people said. “It’s
mainlyaboutprotectingthebanks.”
The people added that the measure
would probably be paired with more
cuts in the central bank’s medium-term
lending facility, which influences the
benchmark loan prime rate announced
bybanksonthe20thofeachmonth.
Analysts have been expecting a cut to
thedepositrateforweeks.“Thechances
are quite decent,” said Harry Hu, a
director at S&P Global. “They need the
bankstocontinuetomakeaprofit.”

China


Central bank opens talks


to cut rates paid for deposits


Achild eats an ice
cream in Xianning
where a cautious
easing of rules
has allowed people
to travel more

HA N N A H KU C H L E R— NEW YORK
ST E P H A N I E F I N D L AY— NEW DELHI
M I C H A E L P E E L— BRUSSELS

India is prioritising for its own people
the supply of an antimalarial drug with
the potential to combat coronavirus by
banning exports, as other countries,
hospitals and even individual doctors
seek out an unproven treatment hailed
byDonaldTrumpasagame-changer.

As the world’s largest exporter of
generic drugs, India’s government has
recommended that its healthcare work-
ers and high-risk individuals use the
antimalarial drug hydroxychloroquine
totrytopreventCovid-19infections.
There has been a surge in global
demand for both hydroxychloroquine
and chloroquine, a similar drug with
greater side effects, despite a lack of
solid scientific evidence that they work
againstcoronavirus.
India is one of the largest producers of
hydroxychloroquine, with drugmakers
Zydus Cadila and IPCA Laboratories
among the biggest manufacturers. The
country has also banned exports of the
active pharmaceutical ingredient in the
drug.
“We are at the moment ramping up
our production of hydroxychloroquine
tomeettherequirementstoabout150m
to 200m pills a month,” Zydus Cadila
said.
An early study from France last week
suggested chloroquine could be helpful,
but it was carried out on small numbers
of patients and without the rigour of a
randomisedcontroltrial.
Another small trial from China, pub-
lished on Tuesday, showed the drug had
noimpact.
Larger trials — including one in New
York and a multinational programme
runbytheWorldHealthOrganization—
arejuststarting.
But Mr Trump has touted the drugs
frequently from the White House
podium and in tweets, sparking a surge
in US hospitals stockpiling the drugs for
Covid-19 patients and individual doc-
tors procuring supplies for themselves
andtheirfriendsandfamilies.
IntheUS,severalstatesarenowlimit-
ing prescriptions to the tens of thou-
sands who already take the drug, con-
cerned that patients, with conditions
such as lupus and rheumatoid arthritis
who need it, may struggle to get their
prescriptions filled, while others stock-
piledrugsforanunapproveduse.
Patrice A Harris, president of the
American Medical Association, admon-
ished doctors for panic prescribing.
“The AMA is calling for a stop to any
inappropriate prescribing and ordering
of medications, including chloroquine
or hydroxychloroquine, and appealing
to physicians and all healthcare profes-
sionals to follow the highest standards
ofprofessionalismandethics,”shesaid.
There has also been a jump in media
reports of overdoses of chloroquine,
which can cause acute poisoning, by
people confused by misinformation
around the drug’s effectiveness for
Covid-19, including in the US, Nigeria
andVietnam.

Demand surge


India bans


exports of


drug touted


by Trump


C O R O N AV I R U S


G

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MARCH 26 2020 Section:World Time: 25/3/2020 - 18:53 User: keith.allen Page Name: WORLD3 USA, Part,Page,Edition: USA, 4 , 1

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