tification of the various fuel types burned every year and a knowledge of the
amount of CO 2 each produces on combustion. This latter factor, although well
known, varies quite a lot between fuels. For example, for each unit of energy pro-
duced, coal forms 25% more CO 2 than oil and 70% more than natural gas. This
occurs because, in the combustion of gas and oil, a major proportion of the energy
comes from conversion of hydrogen atoms (H) in the fuel to water (about 60%
Global Change 249
1950s and 1960s), can then be used to
estimate the rates at which CO 2 is exchanged
between the atmosphere and surface ocean,
its diffusion into the deep ocean and its
transport by vertical circulation.
For the well-mixed reservoirs, a
conservation equation is written in which
gain of^14 C by inflow to the box (atmosphere
or surface ocean) is balanced by the outflow
to other boxes plus radioactive decay (see
Section 2.8) of the tracer during its time in
the reservoir. For the deep ocean,
conservation is described by a partial
differential advection–diffusion equation. The
diffusion coefficient is chosen to best fit the
measured depth profile of^14 C in the oceans.
Using the model, the uptake of fossil fuel
CO 2 can be estimated by integrating forward
in time from an assumed pre-industrial
steady-state value, while adding to the
model’s atmosphere the estimated year-by-
year release of CO 2 from fossil-fuel burning.
At each time step, the fluxes of carbon
between the various boxes are calculated
and the carbon contents and concentration
profiles changed accordingly. From such
models it is calculated that about 35% of
anthropogenic CO 2 is absorbed by the oceans.
CO
concentration (ppm) 2
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14
320
325
330
335
340
345
350
355
360
365
Days after iron added
Mean CO 2 air
CO 2 water
Inside the patch
Outside the patch
Fig. 7.4Surface seawater CO 2 concentration during an iron-fertilization experiment. After
Watson et al. (2000).