Level of return
required by
investors in
Investment Y Risk adjusted
required rate
of return line
Specific risk of
Investment Y
Zero risk
rate of
return
Risk profile of investment
Rate of return required
508 The Marketing Book
‘value-adding’ directions. It can decide to try to
increase return, even though it accepts that
such a strategy will increase its risk profile as
well; the shareholder value created comes from
increasing the expected return proportionately
more than the risk perception increases. Many
marketing-led growth strategies could fall into
this category, including launching existing
products into new markets, developing new
products for existing customers and, partic-
ularly, trying to increase market share in a
mature, non-growing, highly competitive,
existing market. It is vitally important that the
financial evaluation, which is carried out prior
to these marketing initiatives, considers not
only the projected increased future returns, but
also the increases in the risk profile of the
business. (These issues are considered in detail
later in the chapter.)
A second value-creating option is deliber-
ately to reduce the expected rate of return in the
future, but to do so in a way which will reduce
the associated risk to an even greater extent. This
more than proportionate reduction in risk
perception makes the slightly lower expected
return more valuable to the shareholders than
the previous higher, but more risky, rate of
return. There are several marketing strategies
which seek to create shareholder value through
this route, and these include long-term discount
arrangements designed to create customer loy-
alty. These more loyal customers should gen-
erate more consistent, less volatile rates of return
in the future and volatility in the level of
financial return is a key indicator of risk.
However, the most attractive value-adding,
strategic direction is obviously to increase the
expected rate of return while, at the same time,
reducing the risk perception. This reducing risk
perception can result in a reduction in the
required rate of return, so that the shareholder
Figure 20.1 Risk-adjusted required rate of return
Table 20.1 Shareholder value
creation
Real shareholder value creation requires that:
Expected/actual Required
returns > returns