Multiple Linear Regression 63
TAbLE 3.5 (continued)
Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
Yield
Exp.
Infl.
Real
Rate
1984 1987 1990
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
11.67
11.84
12.32
12.63
13.41
13.56
13.36
12.72
12.52
12.16
11.57
12.5
8.741
8.670
8.598
8.529
8.460
8.393
8.319
8.241
8.164
8.081
7.984
7.877
4.324
4.386
4.459
4.530
4.620
4.713
4.793
4.862
4.915
4.908
4.919
4.928
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.08
7.25
7.25
8.02
8.61
8.4
8.45
8.76
9.42
9.52
8.86
8.99
4.887
4.793
4.710
4.627
4.551
4.476
4.413
4.361
4.330
4.302
4.285
4.279
4.607
4.558
4.493
4.445
4.404
4.335
4.296
4.273
4.269
4.259
4.243
4.218
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
8.418
8.515
8.628
9.022
8.599
8.412
8.341
8.846
8.795
8.617
8.252
8.067
4.257
4.254
4.254
4.260
4.264
4.272
4.287
4.309
4.335
4.357
4.371
4.388
3.610
3.595
3.585
3.580
3.586
3.589
3.568
3.546
3.523
3.503
3.493
3.471
1985 1988 1991
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
11.38
11.51
11.86
11.43
10.85
10.16
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.24
9.78
9.26
7.753
7.632
7.501
7.359
7.215
7.062
6.925
6.798
6.664
6.528
6.399
6.269
4.955
4.950
4.900
4.954
5.063
5.183
5.293
5.346
5.383
5.399
5.360
5.326
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
8.67
8.21
8.37
8.72
9.09
8.92
9.06
9.26
8.98
8.8
8.96
9.11
4.274
4.271
4.268
4.270
4.280
4.301
4.322
4.345
4.365
4.381
4.385
4.384
4.180
4.149
4.104
4.075
4.036
3.985
3.931
3.879
3.844
3.810
3.797
3.787
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
8.007
8.033
8.061
8.013
8.059
8.227
8.147
7.816
7.445
7.46
7.376
6.699
4.407
4.431
4.451
4.467
4.487
4.504
4.517
4.527
4.534
4.540
4.552
4.562
3.436
3.396
3.360
3.331
3.294
3.267
3.247
3.237
3.223
3.207
3.177
3.133
1986 1989 1992
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
9.19
8.7
7.78
7.3
7.71
7.8
7.3
7.17
7.45
7.43
7.25
7.11
6.154
6.043
5.946
5.858
5.763
5.673
5.554
5.428
5.301
5.186
5.078
4.982
5.284
5.249
5.225
5.143
5.055
4.965
4.878
4.789
4.719
4.671
4.680
4.655
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19
8.01
7.87
7.84
4.377
4.374
4.367
4.356
4.344
4.331
4.320
4.306
4.287
4.273
4.266
4.258
3.786
3.792
3.791
3.784
3.758
3.723
3.679
3.644
3.623
3.614
3.609
3.611
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
7.274
7.25
7.528
7.583
7.318
7.121
6.709
6.604
6.354
6.789
6.937
6.686
4.569
4.572
4.575
4.574
4.571
4.567
4.563
4.556
4.544
4.533
4.522
4.509
3.092
3.054
3.014
2.965
2.913
2.864
2.810
2.757
2.682
2.624
2.571
2.518
(continued)