Multiple Linear Regression 63
TAbLE 3.5 (continued)
Date
10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate Date10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate Date10-Yr.
Treas.
YieldExp.
Infl.Real
Rate
1984 1987 1990
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
11.67
11.84
12.32
12.63
13.41
13.56
13.36
12.72
12.52
12.16
11.57
12.58.741
8.670
8.598
8.529
8.460
8.393
8.319
8.241
8.164
8.081
7.984
7.8774.324
4.386
4.459
4.530
4.620
4.713
4.793
4.862
4.915
4.908
4.919
4.928Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec7.08
7.25
7.25
8.02
8.61
8.4
8.45
8.76
9.42
9.52
8.86
8.994.887
4.793
4.710
4.627
4.551
4.476
4.413
4.361
4.330
4.302
4.285
4.2794.607
4.558
4.493
4.445
4.404
4.335
4.296
4.273
4.269
4.259
4.243
4.218Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec8.418
8.515
8.628
9.022
8.599
8.412
8.341
8.846
8.795
8.617
8.252
8.0674.257
4.254
4.254
4.260
4.264
4.272
4.287
4.309
4.335
4.357
4.371
4.3883.610
3.595
3.585
3.580
3.586
3.589
3.568
3.546
3.523
3.503
3.493
3.471
1985 1988 1991
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
11.38
11.51
11.86
11.43
10.85
10.16
10.31
10.33
10.37
10.24
9.78
9.267.753
7.632
7.501
7.359
7.215
7.062
6.925
6.798
6.664
6.528
6.399
6.2694.955
4.950
4.900
4.954
5.063
5.183
5.293
5.346
5.383
5.399
5.360
5.326Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec8.67
8.21
8.37
8.72
9.09
8.92
9.06
9.26
8.98
8.8
8.96
9.114.274
4.271
4.268
4.270
4.280
4.301
4.322
4.345
4.365
4.381
4.385
4.3844.180
4.149
4.104
4.075
4.036
3.985
3.931
3.879
3.844
3.810
3.797
3.787Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec8.007
8.033
8.061
8.013
8.059
8.227
8.147
7.816
7.445
7.46
7.376
6.6994.407
4.431
4.451
4.467
4.487
4.504
4.517
4.527
4.534
4.540
4.552
4.5623.436
3.396
3.360
3.331
3.294
3.267
3.247
3.237
3.223
3.207
3.177
3.133
1986 1989 1992
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec
9.19
8.7
7.78
7.3
7.71
7.8
7.3
7.17
7.45
7.43
7.25
7.116.154
6.043
5.946
5.858
5.763
5.673
5.554
5.428
5.301
5.186
5.078
4.9825.284
5.249
5.225
5.143
5.055
4.965
4.878
4.789
4.719
4.671
4.680
4.655Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec9.09
9.17
9.36
9.18
8.86
8.28
8.02
8.11
8.19
8.01
7.87
7.844.377
4.374
4.367
4.356
4.344
4.331
4.320
4.306
4.287
4.273
4.266
4.2583.786
3.792
3.791
3.784
3.758
3.723
3.679
3.644
3.623
3.614
3.609
3.611Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
June
July
Aug
Sept
Oct
Nov
Dec7.274
7.25
7.528
7.583
7.318
7.121
6.709
6.604
6.354
6.789
6.937
6.6864.569
4.572
4.575
4.574
4.571
4.567
4.563
4.556
4.544
4.533
4.522
4.5093.092
3.054
3.014
2.965
2.913
2.864
2.810
2.757
2.682
2.624
2.571
2.518
(continued)