Applied Statistics and Probability for Engineers

(Chris Devlin) #1
162 CHAPTER 5 JOINT PROBABILITY DISTRIBUTIONS

We have obtained the marginal probability density function of Y. Now,

5-3.3 Conditional Probability Distributions

Analogous to discrete random variables, we can define the conditional probability distribution
of Ygiven Xx.

 610 ^3 c

e^4
0.002


e^6
0.003
d0.05

 610 ^3 ca

e0.002y
0.002

`
2000

ba

e0.003y
0.003

`
2000

bd

P 1 Y

20002  6 10 ^3 


2000

e0.002y 11 e0.001y 2 dy

Given continuous random variables Xand Ywith joint probability density function
fXY(x, y), the conditional probability density function of Ygiven Xxis

fY |x 1 y 2  (5-18)

fXY 1 x, y 2
fX 1 x 2

for fX 1 x 2

0


Definition

The function fY|x(y) is used to find the probabilities of the possible values for Ygiven
that X x. Let Rxdenote the set of all points in the range of (X, Y) for which X x. The
conditional probability density function provides the conditional probabilities for the values
of Yin the set Rx.

Because the conditional probability density function is a probability density
function for all yin Rx, the following properties are satisfied:

(1)

(2)

(3)

(5-19)

P 1 YB 0 Xx 2 

B

fY 0 x 1 y 2 dy for any set B in the range of Y



Rx

fY 0 x 1 y 2 dy 1

fY (^0) x 1 y 2  0
fY | x 1 y 2
It is important to state the region in which a joint, marginal, or conditional probability
density function is not zero. The following example illustrates this.
EXAMPLE 5-17 For the random variables that denote times in Example 5-15, determine the conditional prob-
ability density function for Ygiven that Xx.
First the marginal density function of xis determined. For x
0
c 05 .qxd 5/13/02 1:49 PM Page 162 RK UL 6 RK UL 6:Desktop Folder:TEMP WORK:MONTGOMERY:REVISES UPLO D CH114 FIN L:Quark Files:

Free download pdf