Titel_SS06

Lecture Notes Prof. Dr. M. H. Faber 2007 Risk and Safety in Civil Engineering ...

Copyright © 2007 Michael H. Faber ...

PREAMBLE Introduction The present script serves as study guidance for the students taking the course on Risk and Safety in Civil ...

It is believed that students having completed the present course will be able to:  Develop probabilistic engineering models for ...

The Power Point presentations are only meant as a support for the lectures and can be used only as a support for the learning an ...

FOREWORD During the last decade there has been an increasing societal concern on sustainable developments focusing on the conser ...

v The present book is meant to provide a basic understanding and insight to the issues of risk analysis in civil engineering and ...

TABLE OF CONTENTS 1.3 Definition of Risk 1. TOC- TOC- ...

Example 2.2 – Using Bayes’ rule for bridge upgrading 2. 2.4 Introduction to Descriptive Statistics 2. TOC- ...

3.8 Decision Analysis with ‘Unknown’ Information - Pre-posterior Analysis 3. Knowledge and uncertainty 4. System representation ...

5.3 Failure rate data for mechanical systems and components 5. 6.6 Correlated and Dependent Random Variables 6. ...

Snow Loads 7. ...

Example 10.3– Decision analysis by Bayesian Probabilistic Nets 10. ...

12.4 Reliability Updating in Assessment of Structures 12. Updating of Random Variables 12. Event Updating 12. 13.5 Modelling Soc ...

A.5 References A. 1 st Lecture – Engineering Decisions under Uncertainty 1. 1.1 Introduction 1. Objective for Engineering Decis ...

1 st Lecture: Engineering Decisions under Uncertainty Aim of the present lecture The first aim of the present lecture is to intr ...

1.1 Introduction Objective for Engineering Decision-Making During the last two decades, there has been growing awareness that ou ...

0 5000 10000 15000 20000 25000 30000 35000 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 Year GDP/capita (USD PPP) Figure 1.1: Illustration ...

activities must be in balance with the resulting increase in life expectancy. At present it is just stated that this problem con ...

Different solutions for establishing the power plant may be considered and their efficiency can be measured in terms of the expe ...