Introduction to Probability and Statistics for Engineers and Scientists

(Sean Pound) #1

244 Chapter 7: Parameter Estimation


Hence, a 100(1−α) percent two-sided confidence interval forμis


(
x−zα/2

σ

n

, x+zα/2

σ

n

)

wherexis the observed sample mean.


Similarly, knowing thatZ =


n(X−σμ)is a standard normal random variable, along
with the identities


P{Z>zα}=α

and


P{Z<−zα}=α

results in one-sided confidence intervals of any desired level of confidence. Specifically, we
obtain that
(
x−zα


σ

n

,∞

)

and
(
−∞,x+zα


σ

n

)

are, respectively, 100(1−α) percent one-sided upper and 100(1−α) percent one-sided
lower confidence intervals forμ.


EXAMPLE 7.3c Use the data of Example 7.3a to obtain a 99 percent confidence interval
estimate ofμ, along with 99 percent one-sided upper and lower intervals.


SOLUTION Sincez.005=2.58, and


2.58

α

n

=

5.16
3

=1.72

it follows that a 99 percent confidence interval forμis


9 ±1.72

That is, the 99 percent confidence interval estimate is (7.28, 10.72).
Also, sincez.01=2.33, a 99 percent upper confidence interval is


(9−2.33(2/3),∞)=(7.447,∞)

Similarly, a 99 percent lower confidence interval is


(−∞,9+2.33(2/3))=(−∞, 10.553) ■
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