Mathematics for Economists

(Greg DeLong) #1

Optimal stopping


Substituting back and recalling that

h(x)$

E(max(x,ξT))
1 +r =

E(max(η,ξT)jη=x)
1 +r
On the set
Sn=Sn(T)=fmaxknξkag=fmaxknξkh(maxknξk)g

Vn=max




maxknξk,E(maxkn+^1 ξkj Fn)
1 +r




=


=max




maxknξk,

E(max(maxknξk,ξn+ 1 )j Fn)
1 +r




$


$max




maxknξk,h




maxknξk




=maxknξk,

SoSn(T)Sn(T+^1 )hence the setfHnXngis independent of the number
of periods left.
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