Mathematics for Economists

(Greg DeLong) #1

Optimal stopping


The expected gain with this strategy

( 1 +r)E




max




1


4


,ξ 2




= 2


Z 1 / 4


0

1


4


dx+

Z 1
1 / 4

xdx




=


=^1


8


+ 2





x^2
2

 1


1 / 4

=^1


8


+ 1 ^1


16


=^17


16


=


=^1


4


^1


2


+^3


4


 2 ^5


8


=


=^1


4


E(ξ 3 )+^3
4

( 1 +r)^5
8

.


Where 5/8 is the expected value of the uniform distribution on[ 1 / 4 , 1 ].
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