The Economist - UK (2022-03-19)

(Antfer) #1

56 Business TheEconomistMarch19th 2022


inoilprices. Miningfirmsare,asa group,
likewiseperformingwell,buoyedbyhigh­
ermetalsprices,asaresteelmakers(except
Russianones).ThesharepricesofusSteel
andTataSteel,withheadquartersinPitts­
burgh and Mumbai, respectively, have
climbedby38% and11%sincetheeveofthe
invasion.Bungeandadm, twobiglisted
tradersthatspecialiseinreroutingflowsof
grain,haveoutperformedthemarket,too.
Thewardoesnotaffectallcommodities
firmsequally.RioTinto,a bigminer,an­
nouncedonMarch10ththatit wouldaban­
dona jointventurewithRusal,a giantRus­
sianaluminiumproducer.Rocketingelec­
tricity costs resulting from the soaring
priceofnaturalgas,40%ofwhichEurope
getsfromRussia,haveforcedsomeSpan­
ishsteelmakerstocutoutput.
Priceyinputs area morewidespread
problemforsectorsfurtherupthevalue
chain.Justastheywerepreparingtoliftoff
aspandemictravelrestrictionsarerelaxed,
airlinesgotslappedwithrisingfuelcosts.
YaraInternational,a Norwegianfertiliser­
maker,saidonMarch9ththatthecostof
naturalgashadpromptedittocutproduc­
tionattwoEuropeanfactories.
Carmakers,which havenotyetreco­
veredfromthepandemic’sdisruptionsto
supplychains,facefreshproblems.Volks­
wagenandbmw, twoGermangiants, have
cutproductioninEuropeastheyseekout
newmanufacturersoftheharnessesthat
bundlemilesofelectricalwiresintheir
cars to replace out­of­action Ukrainian
suppliers.MorganStanley,a bank,reckons
thatthe67%jumpinnickelpricesbefore
tradingstoppedrepresentedanincreaseof
about$1,000totheinputcostsoftheaver­
ageAmericanelectricvehicle.
Gabriel Adler of Citigroup, another
bank, notesthat carmakers have so far
beensuccessfulinpassingtheircostsonto
consumers. Tesla, America’s electric­car
superstar,thismonthraisedprices;Elon
Musk, its boss, complained in a tweet
about“significant recentinflation pres­
sure inraw materials&logistics”. Such
pricingpowerisenviable.Butit hasitslim­

its.Atsomepointpeoplewillnotbewilling
toabsorbanyfurtherincreases.
Incertaincases,consumersarebegin­
ning to balk.American foodfirmshave
been raisingprices formonths tooffset
highercostsofenergy,transportandingre­
dients.However,theyhavebeenunableto
raisethemquicklyenoughtoprotectmar­
gins. The need to negotiateprices with
grocerslimitstheirabilitytodemandhigh­
eroneswhenevertheydesire.Andgrocers,
inturn,areunderpressurefromshoppers.
RobertMoskow ofCreditSuisse,onemore

bank,notesthatconsumershaveinthe
pastyearbeenwillingtostomachpricier
food.Butthewar’simpactoncommodities
pricescomesata momentwhentheirpa­
tienceiswearingthin,especiallyinAmer­
ica,whereinflationhashita 40­yearhigh.
“Everyfoodcompanymustbegettinga
littlenervousthat theyarepushingthe
consumertoofar,”saysMrMoskow. Asthe
costsofinputscontinuetoclimb,itlooks
increasinglylikelythatcompanieswillbe
forced to choose between compressing
profitsanddepressingdemand.n

Resourceful v resourceless
Stockmarket indices, February 1st 2022=100

Source:RefinitivDatastream

120

110

100

90

80

70
February March

S&P 500 Food, S&P 500
Beverage&Tobacco

STOXXEurope00Autos & Parts

S&P/TSXGlobalMining

SPDR S&P Oil & Gas

“I


t maynotbegoodforAmerica,but
it’s damn good for cbs,” said Leslie
Moonves, the tv network’s then boss, of
Donald Trump’s presidential candidacy
in 2016. Ratings soared under Mr Trump,
and slumped when he left the stage. Now
war has people tuning in again. Since
Russia invaded Ukraine, cable­news
channels’ audience share in America has
nearly doubled, to 12%, reckons Inscape,
a data firm—heights last recorded when
the Capitol was stormed in January 2021.
America’s original Cable News Net­
work hopes to sate this hunger with a
new format. cnn+ will launch in Amer­
ica on March 29th, with an international
roll­out to follow. For $5.99 a month
viewers will enjoy live streams of on­
demand news and documentaries, plus
interactive features (like the chance to
submit questions to interviewees).
The launch coincides with upheaval
at the 42­year­old network, one of the
biggest names in news. cnn’s boss, Jeff
Zucker, quit in February over an undis­
closed office romance; Chris Licht, an
experienced producer, takes over next
month. Meanwhile, the merger of cnn’s
owner, WarnerMedia, with Discovery, a
cable giant, is expected to close in April.
The new management prefers to
highlight cnn’s hard­news expertise, on
display in Ukraine, over the partisan
commentary in which it indulged in the
Trump years. A neutral brand suits War­
ner­Discovery’s strategy. Warner plans to
bundle cnn+ with its entertainment
platform, hboMax, due to combine with
Discovery’s. That bundle cannot afford to
repel conservatives. (If it does, cnn’s new
owners may sell it.)
Nor can cnn+ afford to undermine
the cable business. Like all legacy media
firms, Warner­Discovery is trying to
launch a streaming lifeboat without
sinking its cable mothership. So for now,

cnniskeepingitsmain rolling­news
channel exclusively on cable, with sep­
arate shows for cnn+ aimed at news
junkies and documentary fans. 
Sceptics wonder about the size of the
new market. As for cable, it is in decline.
Just over half of American homes have it,
down from nearly nine out of ten a de­
cade ago. Sport, which along with news is
the last reason not to cut the cord, is
slowly shifting to streaming. Amazon
and Apple, with no cable interests to
protect, have begun buying the rights to
big matches.
Historically less­cabled international
markets may provide a glimpse of what
comes next. cnn+ customers in Latin
America are likely to get the cnn en
Español linear channel, for instance,
while some European subscribers are
expected to get cnn International. cnn+
is a side­bet for the time being. It is also
the network’s most likely future home
when American cable is severed for good.

Television

Good news and bad news


cnnenters the streaming business at an opportune moment

cnn+ or minus?
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