IFR Magazine – January 20, 2018

(Grace) #1

Top news


China factor hampers sovereign workouts


„ People & Markets Venezuela and others uncertain how to confront major creditor

BY CHRISTOPHER SPINK

(IGHLYûINDEBTEDûSOVEREIGNSûWITHû
CHINAûASûAûSIGNIlCANTûCREDITORû
HAVEûLITTLEûIDEAûHOWûTOûAPPROACHû
THEû!SIANûSUPERPOWERûABOUTû
RESTRUCTURINGûTHOSEûDEBTS
!DVISERSûSPECIALISINGûINû
SOVEREIGNûDEBTûWORKOUTSûTOLDû)&2û
THATûTHEûQUESTIONûHASûBEENû
SKIRTEDûINûRESTRUCTURINGSûWHEREû
#HINAûWASûOWEDûSMALLûAMOUNTSû
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#HINAûISûAûSIGNIlCANTûCREDITOR
-AJORû#HINESEûINVOLVEMENTûISû
THEREFOREûLIKELYûTOûDELAYûANYû
WORKOUTûDEALSûWITHûBONDHOLDERSû
ANDûOTHERûPRIVATEûSECTORûLENDERS
"OTHûSOVEREIGNSûTHATûSTARTEDû
RElNANCINGûTALKSûWITHûBONDHOLDERSû
DURINGûTHEûLASTûQUARTERûOFû ûTHEû
REPUBLIC OF CONGOûANDûVENEZUELA, owe
SUMSûTOû#HINAûTHATûDWARFûTHEûTOTALû
DUEûTOûOTHERûLENDERS
h%VERYONEûINCLUDINGûTHEû)-&û
ISûGRAPPLINGûWITHûHOWûTOûDEALû

WITHû#HINAûREGARDINGû6ENEZUELAû
4HEYûAREûAûBIGûCREDITORûBUTûTHEREû
ISûAûLACKûOFûTRANSPARENCYûABOUTû
THEIRûEXACTûPOSITION vûSAIDûONEû
SOVEREIGNûRESTRUCTURINGûADVISER

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LENDERûTOûEMERGINGûMARKETû
COUNTRIES ûBILATERALûLENDERSûUSEDû
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WHICHûDEBTûRELIEFûWASûGRANTED
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LOANSû)NûADDITIONûTHEû)-&ûHASû
NOTûCARRIEDûOUTûAûFULLûREPORTûONû

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MAKINGûITûHARDûTOûASSESSûTHEû
COUNTRYSûPREDICAMENT
)NûTHEûLASTûTWOûMAJORû
SOVEREIGNûRESTRUCTURINGS ûGREECE
ANDûUKRAINE û#HINESEûDEBTSûWEREû
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WEREûINCLUDEDûINûTHEû-ARCHûû
EXCHANGEûOFFERûTHATûTARGETEDû
õBNûOFûDEBTû"UTûINû5KRAINE û
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LEFTûUNTOUCHED
.ONETHELESS ûWHENûTHEû
RECKONINGûCOMESûINû6ENEZUELA û
#HINAûISûUNLIKELYûTOûESCAPEû)NSTEADû
ITûWILLûBEûEXPECTEDûTOûCONTRIBUTEûTOû
SOLVINGûWHATûISûDEVELOPINGûINTOûAû
MAJORûHUMANITARIANûCRISIS
h)TûISûHIGHLYûLIKELYûTHATûINû
circumstances where Chinese
CLAIMSûAREûAûSIGNIlCANTûPARTûOFû
TOTALûEXTERNALûDEBT ûBONDHOLDERSû
ANDûPERHAPSûOTHERûCREDITORSûWILLû
INSISTûTHATû#HINAûBEûAûPARTûOFûTHEû
SOLUTION vûSAIDû-ARKû7ALKER û
WHOûADVISEDû'REECEûONûITSû
RESTRUCTURINGûWHENûATû,AZARD

h(OWûTHISûWILLûPLAYûOUTûINû
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NEGOTIATIONSûREMAINûTOûBEûSEEN vû
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DIRECTORûATû-ILLSTEINûû#O

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)NûSMALLERûRESTRUCTURINGS û
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REACT vûSAIDûAûSECONDûSOVEREIGNû
RESTRUCTURINGûADVISER

UK banks bear brunt of Carillion collapse


„ Loans Company had £1.6bn of debt facilities when it was pushed into liquidation

BY SANDRINE BRADLEY

&IVEû5+ûBANKSûAREûFACINGûHEAVYû
LOSSESûONûLOANSûTOûCARILLION, after
THEû"RITISHûGOVERNMENTSûREFUSALû
TOûSUPPORTûTHEûCOMPANYûPUSHEDû
THEû5+ûCONSTRUCTIONûANDûSERVICESû
GROUPûINTOûLIQUIDATIONûONû
-ONDAY
Royal Bank of Scotland, HSBC,
Santander, Lloyds ANDûBarclays are
AMONGûTHEûMOSTûHEAVILYûEXPOSEDû
AFTERûPROVIDINGûaMûOFû
EMERGENCYûLOANSûINû3EPTEMBERû
ûANDûAREûALSOûLENDERSûONûAû
aMûREVOLVINGûCREDITûFACILITY
4HOSEûTWOûLOANSûMAKEûUPûTHEû
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COMMITTEDûDEBTûFACILITIESû4HEREû
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3IXûBANKS ûINCLUDINGû2"3 û
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ANDûHADûAûMATURITYûOFû*ANUARYûû

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.OVEMBERû ûWASûALSOûFULLYû
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REDUCEDûTHEIRûEXPOSUREûBYû
PACKAGINGûTHEIRû#ARILLIONûLOANSû
INTOûSYNTHETICû#,/ûVEHICLES û
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FUNDS

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lNALISEDûANDûIMPLEMENTED ûTWOû
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TERMûLOANSûWOULDû
HAVEûBEENûRElNANCEDûBYûAû
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THATûWOULDûHAVEûCONVERTEDûALLûOFû

“Everyone including
the IMF is grappling
with how to deal
with China regarding
Venezuela”
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