MUTUAL FUND ANALYSIS
Investing in infrastructure funds
With the completion of
the Seventeenth General
Elections and re-election of the
incumbent party at the Centre,
the key positive takeaway is
consistency in economic
governance framework for the
next five years. Most
importantly, a comfortable
majority also ensures no
impediments of coalition
pressures in case of tough
decisions for long term growth.
Therefore, attention shifts to
areas of focus for the next five
years, which can be gauged
through the manifesto of the
BJP. The broader takeaway is
the manifesto envisages
inclusive growth spanning
infrastructure, rural/agri
population, industries and basic
necessities such as housing
and healthcare that could be a
catalyst for a decade of robust
economic growth ahead.
Infrastructure remains the key
thrust area of this government
with focus on Railway, road & air
connectivity, housing, etc. Most
diversified funds are linked to
the consumption or financial
part of the economy in which
most stocks are richly valued.
Infrastructure funds offer a
good diversification to the
diversified funds.
The government's manifesto
envisages overall infrastructure
investment to the tune of 100 `
lakh crore by 2022, implying
annual investment of 20 lakh `
crore. To meet this, we believe
the government will have to
step up tendering & awarding
activity exponentially from 9.6 `
lakh crore & 3.3 lakh crore, `
respectively, in FY19. This could
offer huge opportunities to EPC
players and could see a
doubling of the order book from
the current level over next three
years.
In terms of verticals, it plans to
construct 60,000 km of National
Highways in the next five years.
In our view, the major
component of 60,000 km would
involve Bharatmala 1.0 and
balance road work under NHDP
aggregating 34,800 km at an
estimated cost of 5.35 lakh `
crore. EPC players could reap
good benefits from this
opportunity.