Jim_Krane]_Energy_Kingdoms__Oil_and_Political_Sur

(John Hannent) #1
1969. THE POLITICS OF REFORM

Eventually the Gulf States Will Run out of Power,” Middle East Center Blog, London
S c h o o l o f E c o n o m i c s , J a n u a r y 5 , 2 0 1 5 , h t t p : / / b l o g s. l s e. a c. u k / m e c / 2 0 1 5 / 0 1 / 0 7 / o i l - p r i c e s


  • e v e n t u a l l y - t h e - g u l f - s t a t e s - w i l l - r u n - o u t - o f - p o w e r.



  1. Some reformers had minimal fiscal buffers in 2015, including Bahrain, Oman, and
    Egypt. Saudi currency reserves were high but dwindled at an alarming rate.

  2. Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed has assumed control of most UAE governance func-
    tions during the long convalescence of his elder half- brother Khalifa, age sixty- eight.
    At the time of writing, Sheikh Khalifa retained official status as head of state.

  3. Peter Kovessy and Shabina S. Khatri, “Qatar Emir: Government Can No Longer ‘Pro-
    vide for Everything,’ ” Doha News, November 3, 2015, http: //dohanews .co /qatar - emir



  • g o v e r n m e n t - c a n - n o - l o n g e r - p r o v i d e - f o r - e v e r y t h i n g.



  1. Rana Rahimpour, “Iran Protests Pose an Unpredictable Challenge for Authorities,”
    BBC News, January 2, 2018, http: //www .bbc .com /news /world - middle - east - 42541171.

  2. Saleh al- Shaibany, “Oman Caps Fuel Price After Protests,” The National, February 8,
    2 0 1 7 , h t t p s : / / w w w. t h e n a t i o n a l. a e / w o r l d / o m a n - c a p s - f u e l - p r i c e - a ft e r - p r o t e s t s - 1. 7 7 1 9 5.

  3. “Arab Gulf States: Attempts to Silence 140 Characters,” Human Rights Watch press
    r e l e a s e , N o v e m b e r 1 , 2 0 1 6 , h t t p s : / / w w w. h r w. o r g / n e w s / 2 0 1 6 / 1 1 / 0 1 / a r a b - g u l f - s t a t e s



  • a t t e m p t s - s i l e n c e - 1 4 0 - c h a r a c t e r s.



  1. Lindsay Benstead, “Why Some Arabs Don’t Want Democracy,” Monkey Cage blog,
    Wa shing ton Post, September 30, 2014, https: //www .washingtonpost .com /news /mon
    k e y - c a g e / w p / 2 0 1 4 / 0 9 / 3 0 / w h y - s o m e - a r a b s - d o n t - w a n t - d e m o c r a c y.

  2. Gengler and Lambert, “Renegotiating the Ruling Bargain,” 327.

  3. Al- Qassemi, “The Gulf ’s New Social Contract.”

  4. Jim Krane, “The Political Economy of Subsidy Reform in the Persian Gulf Monar-
    chies,” in The Economics and Political Economy of Energy Subsidies, ed. Jon Strand
    (Cambridge, MA: MIT Press, 2016), 191– 222.

  5. Hazem Beblawi and Giacomo Luciani, “Introduction,” in The Rentier State, ed. Hazem
    Beblawi and Giacomo Luciani (London: Croom Helm, 1987), 16– 17.

  6. F. Gregory Gause III, “The Political Economy of National Security in the GCC States,”
    in The Persian Gulf at the Millennium, ed. Gary Sick and Lawrence Potter (New York:
    St. Martin’s, 1997), 80.

  7. F. Gregory Gause III, Oil Monarchies: Domestic and Security Challenges in the Arab
    Gulf States (New York: Council on Foreign Relations, 1994), 147.

  8. Partha S. Dasgupta, “The Environment as a Commodity,” Oxford Review of Economic
    Policy 6, no. 1 (1990): 51– 67.


CONCLUSION: THE CLIMATE HEDGE


  1. Jim Krane, “Beyond 12.5: The Implications of an Increase in Saudi Crude Oil Produc-
    tion Capacity,” Energy Policy 110 (2017): 542– 47. See also Bill Spindle and Summer
    Said, “Saudi Aramco Likely to Step up Production,” Wall Street Journal, May 10, 2016,
    h t t p : / / w w w. w s j. c o m / a r t i c l e s / a r a m c o - a i m i n g - t o - d o u b l e - g a s - p r o d u c t i o n - i n - 1 0

    • years - 1462864819.



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