Mathematical and Statistical Methods for Actuarial Sciences and Finance

(Nora) #1

308 G. Villani


are two Brownian motions under the risk-neutral probability measure



QandZ′is

a Brownian motion under



Qindependent ofZˆd. By the Brownian motions defined
in Equations (11) and (12), we can rewrite Equation (7) for the assetPunder the


risk-neutral probability



Q. So it results that:
dP
P

=−δdt+σvdZˆv−σddZˆd. (13)

Using Equation (12), it results that:


σvdZˆv−σddZˆd=(σvρvd−σd)dZˆd+σv

(√

1 −ρ^2 vd

)

dZ′, (14)

whereZˆv andZ′are independent under



Q. Therefore, as(σvdZˆv−σddZˆd)∼
N( 0 ,σ



dt), we can rewrite Equation (13):
dP
P

=−δdt+σdZp, (15)

whereσ=



σv^2 +σd^2 − 2 σvσdρvdandZpis a Brownian motion under


Q.Usingthe

log-transformation, we obtain the equation for the risk-neutral price simulationP:


Pt=P 0 exp

{(

−δ−

σ^2
2

)

t+σZp(t)

}

. (16)

So, using the assetDTas numeraire given by Equation (10), we price a SEEO as the
expectation value of discounted cash-flows under the risk-neutral probability measure:


s(V,D,T)=e−rTEQ[max( 0 ,VT−DT)]
=D 0 e−δdTE∼
Q

[gs(PT)], (17)

wheregs(PT)=max(PT− 1 , 0 ). Finally, it is possible to implement the Monte Carlo
simulation to approximate:


E∼

Q

[gs(PT)]≈

1

n

∑n

i= 1

gsi(PˆTi), (18)

wherenis the number of simulated paths effected,PˆTifori= 1 , 2 ...nare the simulated


values andgsi(PˆTi)=max( 0 ,PˆTi− 1 )are thensimulated payoffs of SEEO using a
single stochastic factor.


3 The price of a Compound European Exchange Option (CEEO)


The CEEO is a derivative in which the underlying asset is another exchange option.
Carr [5] develops a model to value the CEEO assuming that the underlying asset is

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